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Cruz Azul v Santos Laguna
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Cruz Azul (Хозяева)
Прогноз 68.87%1.45справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.51%
Преимущество -1.06%
Kelly -3.52%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.43
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
65.69%68.75%68.68%70.59%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.241.331.331.4380.65%74.94%75.19%69.93%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Santos Laguna (Гости)
Прогноз 12.97%7.71справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.73%
Преимущество +0.466%
Kelly +0.532%
Рост +0.020%
при максимальном коэффициенте 8.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
11.71%12.92%13.22%14.89%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
6.007.147.008.0016.67%14.00%14.29%12.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 18.16%5.51справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.56%
Преимущество -0.287%
Kelly -0.352%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.42
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.48%18.33%18.10%20.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.555.035.105.4221.98%19.89%19.61%18.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Cruz Azul (Хозяева): 68.87%; Santos Laguna (Гости): 12.97%; Ничья: 18.16%. Для исхода «Santos Laguna (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 7.71. 7 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 8.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.73%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +3.73%E +0.466%K +0.532%G +0.020% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +3.73%E +0.466%K +0.532%G +0.020% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 23:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.88%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV +1.13%E +0.145%K +0.167%G +0.002% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -17.36%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 22:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.88%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV +1.13%E +0.145%K +0.167%G +0.002% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -17.36%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 22:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV +1.13%E +0.145%K +0.167%G +0.002% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.83%EV -4.96%E -3.59%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 7.78I 12.85%NM 12.39%EV +0.875%E +0.112%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.78%EV -1.56%E -0.287%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV +0.486%E +0.063%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -3.73%E -0.705%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.65%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.19%EV -1.46%E -0.192%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -7.37%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.05%EV -4.96%E -3.59%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.62%EV -2.11%E -0.279%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.33%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.44%EV -4.96%E -3.59%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 7.54I 13.26%NM 12.71%EV -2.24%E -0.297%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.85%EV -2.46%E -0.459%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.86%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -3.73%E -0.705%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.86%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -3.73%E -0.705%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -13.72%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 22:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -3.73%E -0.705%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.54%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -7.37%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 22:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.96%EV -2.20%E -1.55%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.55%EV -7.68%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.49%EV -5.19%E -0.994%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.96%EV -2.20%E -1.55%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.55%EV -7.68%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.49%EV -5.19%E -0.994%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.81%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.89%EV -7.94%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 22:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.02%E -5.20%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.64%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.21%EV -8.28%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -11.85%E -9.25%K -42.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.00%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -11.85%E -9.25%K -42.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.00%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -11.85%E -9.25%K -42.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.00%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.48%EV -1.51%E -1.06%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.07%EV -11.05%E -1.61%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.45%EV -5.01%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 22:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 69.35%EV -14.60%E -11.77%K -60.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.74%EV -12.48%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.91%EV -12.82%E -2.67%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.53%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.60%EV -13.13%E -1.96%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -7.37%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 21:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.82%E -2.67%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.31%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.67%EV -17.02%E -2.66%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.02%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.69%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.30%EV -18.96%E -3.03%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.01%EV -14.63%E -3.11%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -22.20%E -3.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.10% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.68% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.21% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.65% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.47% | 2.2% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.00% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.31% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69% | 2.8% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.88% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.46% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |