Idioma:Español
Cruz Azul v Santos Laguna
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cruz Azul (Local)
Predicción 68.87%1.45momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -3.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.69%68.75%68.68%70.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.241.331.331.4380.65%74.94%75.19%69.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Santos Laguna (Visitante)
Predicción 12.97%7.71momio equitativo
EV +3.73%
Ventaja +0.466%
Kelly +0.532%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.71%12.92%13.22%14.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.007.147.008.0016.67%14.00%14.29%12.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 18.16%5.51momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -0.287%
Kelly -0.352%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.48%18.33%18.10%20.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.555.035.105.4221.98%19.89%19.61%18.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cruz Azul (Local): 68.87%; Santos Laguna (Visitante): 12.97%; Empate: 18.16%. Para Santos Laguna (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.71. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.73%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +3.73%E +0.466%K +0.532%G +0.020% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +3.73%E +0.466%K +0.532%G +0.020% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 23:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.88%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV +1.13%E +0.145%K +0.167%G +0.002% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -17.36%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 22:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.88%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV +1.13%E +0.145%K +0.167%G +0.002% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -17.36%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 22:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV +1.13%E +0.145%K +0.167%G +0.002% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.83%EV -4.96%E -3.59%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 7.78I 12.85%NM 12.39%EV +0.875%E +0.112%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.78%EV -1.56%E -0.287%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV +0.486%E +0.063%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -3.73%E -0.705%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.65%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.19%EV -1.46%E -0.192%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -7.37%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.05%EV -4.96%E -3.59%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.62%EV -2.11%E -0.279%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.33%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.44%EV -4.96%E -3.59%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 7.54I 13.26%NM 12.71%EV -2.24%E -0.297%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.85%EV -2.46%E -0.459%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.86%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -3.73%E -0.705%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.86%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -3.73%E -0.705%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -13.72%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 22:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -3.73%E -0.705%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.54%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -7.37%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 22:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.96%EV -2.20%E -1.55%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.55%EV -7.68%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.49%EV -5.19%E -0.994%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.96%EV -2.20%E -1.55%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.55%EV -7.68%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.49%EV -5.19%E -0.994%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.81%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.89%EV -7.94%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 22:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.02%E -5.20%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.64%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.21%EV -8.28%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -11.85%E -9.25%K -42.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.00%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -11.85%E -9.25%K -42.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.00%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -11.85%E -9.25%K -42.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.00%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.48%EV -1.51%E -1.06%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.07%EV -11.05%E -1.61%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.45%EV -5.01%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 22:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 69.35%EV -14.60%E -11.77%K -60.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.74%EV -12.48%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.91%EV -12.82%E -2.67%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.53%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.60%EV -13.13%E -1.96%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -7.37%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 21:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.82%E -2.67%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.31%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.67%EV -17.02%E -2.66%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.02%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.69%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.30%EV -18.96%E -3.03%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.01%EV -14.63%E -3.11%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -22.20%E -3.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.10% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.68% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.21% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.65% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.47% | 2.2% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.00% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.31% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69% | 2.8% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.88% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.46% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |