Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Cruz Azul v Santos Laguna

Początek: 2026-09-06 23:02 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Cruz Azul 1–0 Santos Laguna

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

49 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Cruz Azul (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 68.87%1.45kurs godziwy
EV -1.51%
Przewaga -1.06%
Kelly -3.52%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.43

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.69%68.75%68.68%70.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.241.331.331.4380.65%74.94%75.19%69.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Santos Laguna (Goście)

Prognoza 12.97%7.71kurs godziwy
EV +3.73%
Przewaga +0.466%
Kelly +0.532%
Wzrost +0.020%

przy maksymalnym kursie 8.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
11.71%12.92%13.22%14.89%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
6.007.147.008.0016.67%14.00%14.29%12.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 18.16%5.51kurs godziwy
EV -1.56%
Przewaga -0.287%
Kelly -0.352%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.42

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
17.48%18.33%18.10%20.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.555.035.105.4221.98%19.89%19.61%18.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Cruz Azul (Gospodarze): 68.87%; Santos Laguna (Goście): 12.97%; Remis: 18.16%. Dla wyniku Santos Laguna (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 7.71. 7 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 8.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.73%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (49 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +3.73%E +0.466%K +0.532%G +0.020%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 23:00
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +3.73%E +0.466%K +0.532%G +0.020%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 23:01
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.88%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV +1.13%E +0.145%K +0.167%G +0.002%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -17.36%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:29
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.88%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV +1.13%E +0.145%K +0.167%G +0.002%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -17.36%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV +1.13%E +0.145%K +0.167%G +0.002%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 22:20
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.83%EV -4.96%E -3.59%K -13.05%G +0.000%7.78I 12.85%NM 12.39%EV +0.875%E +0.112%K +0.129%G +0.001%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.78%EV -1.56%E -0.287%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-06 22:55
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV +0.486%E +0.063%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -3.73%E -0.705%K -0.869%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 22:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.65%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.19%EV -1.46%E -0.192%K -0.221%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -7.37%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.05%EV -4.96%E -3.59%K -13.05%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.62%EV -2.11%E -0.279%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.33%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 12:40
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.44%EV -4.96%E -3.59%K -13.05%G +0.000%7.54I 13.26%NM 12.71%EV -2.24%E -0.297%K -0.342%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.85%EV -2.46%E -0.459%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 22:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.86%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -3.73%E -0.705%K -0.869%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.86%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -3.73%E -0.705%K -0.869%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -13.72%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 22:35
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -3.73%E -0.705%K -0.869%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.54%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -7.37%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 22:44
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 23:00
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 23:00
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.96%EV -2.20%E -1.55%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.55%EV -7.68%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.49%EV -5.19%E -0.994%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-05 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.96%EV -2.20%E -1.55%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.55%EV -7.68%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.49%EV -5.19%E -0.994%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.81%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.89%EV -7.94%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 22:55
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 22:14
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.02%E -5.20%K -20.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 22:25
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 23:00
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.64%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.21%EV -8.28%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 22:55
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -11.85%E -9.25%K -42.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.00%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -11.85%E -9.25%K -42.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.00%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -11.85%E -9.25%K -42.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.00%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 23:00
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.48%EV -1.51%E -1.06%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.07%EV -11.05%E -1.61%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.45%EV -5.01%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 22:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 69.35%EV -14.60%E -11.77%K -60.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.74%EV -12.48%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.91%EV -12.82%E -2.67%K -3.37%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-06 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.53%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.60%EV -13.13%E -1.96%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -7.37%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 23:00
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 21:30
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 22:59
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 22:20
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 22:20
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.82%E -2.67%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 22:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.31%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.67%EV -17.02%E -2.66%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.02%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-06 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.69%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.30%EV -18.96%E -3.03%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.01%EV -14.63%E -3.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 22:55
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -22.20%E -3.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 19:45
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%1.1%2026-09-06 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%1.1%2026-09-06 22:55
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.10%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.68%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.21%1.9%2026-09-06 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.65%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.47%2.2%2026-09-06 23:00
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.00%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.31%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69%2.8%2026-09-06 23:00
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 70.88%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.46%3.0%2026-09-06 23:00