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Fagiano Okayama v V-Varen Nagasaki

2026-08-15 09:55 UTC — J League

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fagiano Okayama (Local)

Prediction 43.04%2.32fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -4.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.89%42.99%43.07%44.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.152.2150.00%47.11%46.51%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

V-Varen Nagasaki (Visit)

Prediction 27.99%3.57fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.52%28.13%27.94%29.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.303.4333.33%30.64%30.30%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.97%3.45fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -0.881%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.89%28.88%28.99%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.193.203.3533.33%31.38%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Fagiano Okayama (Local): 43.04%; V-Varen Nagasaki (Visit): 27.99%; Draw: 28.97%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.35, with an expected value of -2.95%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.10%EV -4.88%E -2.21%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.77%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.13%EV -5.27%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 11:25
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -5.31%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.92%EV -4.27%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.68%EV -3.53%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 11:40
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.31%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 11:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -5.31%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -5.31%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.47%E -3.47%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -6.51%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 11:29
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.47%E -3.47%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 11:30
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.47%E -3.47%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.74%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 11:25
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.47%E -3.47%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.74%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 11:24
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.47%E -3.47%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 11:29
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -8.76%E -4.13%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.95%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 11:30
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.62%E -4.58%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 11:29
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -11.77%E -5.74%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -11.77%E -5.74%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -11.77%E -5.74%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -8.74%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 11:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -11.77%E -5.74%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -14.63%E -4.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -11.64%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-09 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.17%EV -12.63%E -6.22%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.82%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.02%EV -12.51%E -4.14%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-09 11:24
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -13.92%E -6.96%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-09 11:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 42.33%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.91%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.76%10.9%2026-08-09 12:10