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Fagiano Okayama v V-Varen Nagasaki
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Fagiano Okayama (Хозяева)
Прогноз 58.29%1.72справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.07%
Преимущество -1.23%
Kelly -3.04%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.68
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
54.68%58.09%58.30%60.55%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.531.601.601.6865.36%62.38%62.50%59.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
V-Varen Nagasaki (Гости)
Прогноз 17.08%5.85справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.789%
Преимущество +0.134%
Kelly +0.161%
Рост +0.001%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.90
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.70%17.19%17.17%19.23%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.755.215.255.9021.05%19.18%19.05%16.95%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 24.62%4.06справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.00%
Преимущество -0.503%
Kelly -0.672%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.98
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.68%24.72%24.53%26.09%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.683.653.9828.57%27.19%27.40%25.13%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Fagiano Okayama (Хозяева): 58.29%; V-Varen Nagasaki (Гости): 17.08%; Ничья: 24.62%. Для исхода «V-Varen Nagasaki (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.85. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.90, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.789%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV +0.789%E +0.134%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -3.97%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 09:43 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -0.065%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -5.45%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.17%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.54%EV -0.407%E -0.070%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.29%EV -2.25%E -0.566%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -0.919%E -0.159%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.59%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV -1.77%E -0.308%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -1.77%E -0.308%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -4.34%E -0.774%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 09:43 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -10.13%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 09:43 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.11%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.11%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -7.75%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 09:48 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.71%EV -8.61%E -1.61%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.81%EV -2.00%E -0.503%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.97%EV -7.89%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.28%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.77%EV -7.89%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -10.13%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.59%EV -10.23%E -6.64%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.13%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.48%EV -7.89%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 09:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -12.88%E -2.52%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.97%EV -10.23%E -6.64%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.22%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -18.86%E -3.97%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.43% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |