Langue:Français
Fagiano Okayama v V-Varen Nagasaki
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fagiano Okayama (Local)
Prévision 58.29%1.72cote équitable
EV -2.07%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -3.04%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.68
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.68%58.09%58.30%60.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.601.601.6865.36%62.38%62.50%59.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
V-Varen Nagasaki (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.08%5.85cote équitable
EV +0.789%
Avantage +0.134%
Kelly +0.161%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 5.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.70%17.19%17.17%19.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.755.215.255.9021.05%19.18%19.05%16.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 24.62%4.06cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -0.503%
Kelly -0.672%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.98
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.68%24.72%24.53%26.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.683.653.9828.57%27.19%27.40%25.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fagiano Okayama (Local) : 58.29% ; V-Varen Nagasaki (Visiteur) : 17.08% ; Match nul : 24.62%. Pour V-Varen Nagasaki (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.85. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.90, soit une espérance positive de +0.789%.
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV +0.789%E +0.134%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -3.97%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 09:43 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -0.065%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -5.45%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.17%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.54%EV -0.407%E -0.070%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.29%EV -2.25%E -0.566%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -0.919%E -0.159%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.59%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV -1.77%E -0.308%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -1.77%E -0.308%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -4.34%E -0.774%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 09:43 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -10.13%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 09:43 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.11%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.11%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -7.75%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 09:48 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.71%EV -8.61%E -1.61%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.81%EV -2.00%E -0.503%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.97%EV -7.89%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.28%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.77%EV -7.89%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -10.13%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.59%EV -10.23%E -6.64%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.13%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.48%EV -7.89%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 09:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -12.88%E -2.52%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.97%EV -10.23%E -6.64%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.22%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -18.86%E -3.97%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.43% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |