Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Fagiano Okayama v V-Varen Nagasaki

Inizio: 2026-08-15 09:55 UTC

Finale: Fagiano Okayama 1–0 V-Varen Nagasaki

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

49 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Fagiano Okayama (Casa)

Previsione 58.29%1.72quota equa
EV -2.07%
Vantaggio -1.23%
Kelly -3.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.68%58.09%58.30%60.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.601.601.6865.36%62.38%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

V-Varen Nagasaki (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.08%5.85quota equa
EV +0.789%
Vantaggio +0.134%
Kelly +0.161%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.70%17.19%17.17%19.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.755.215.255.9021.05%19.18%19.05%16.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.62%4.06quota equa
EV -2.00%
Vantaggio -0.503%
Kelly -0.672%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.68%24.72%24.53%26.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.683.653.9828.57%27.19%27.40%25.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Fagiano Okayama (Casa): 58.29%; V-Varen Nagasaki (Trasferta): 17.08%; Pareggio: 24.62%. Per V-Varen Nagasaki (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.85. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 5.90, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.789%.

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV +0.789%E +0.134%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -3.97%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 09:43
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -0.065%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -5.45%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 09:49
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.17%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.54%EV -0.407%E -0.070%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.29%EV -2.25%E -0.566%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 09:45
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -0.919%E -0.159%K -0.192%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.59%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV -1.77%E -0.308%K -0.373%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 09:44
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -1.77%E -0.308%K -0.373%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 09:49
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -4.34%E -0.774%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 09:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:44
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 09:43
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -10.13%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:45
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:43
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.11%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 09:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.11%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 09:44
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -7.75%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 09:48
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.71%EV -8.61%E -1.61%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.81%EV -2.00%E -0.503%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:50
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.97%EV -7.89%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.28%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:45
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.77%EV -7.89%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -10.13%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 09:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.59%EV -10.23%E -6.64%K -18.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 09:44
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.13%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.48%EV -7.89%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 09:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 09:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 09:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 09:50
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 09:49
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 09:49
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 09:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -12.88%E -2.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 09:49
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 09:45
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 09:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 09:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 09:45
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.97%EV -10.23%E -6.64%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.22%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 09:44
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:40
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:39
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:39
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:39
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 09:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 09:40
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -18.86%E -3.97%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 09:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-08-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-08-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-08-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-08-15 09:50
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52%2.0%2026-08-15 09:50
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%2.6%2026-08-15 09:44