StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fagiano Okayama v V-Varen Nagasaki

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 09:55 UTC

Slutresultat: Fagiano Okayama 1–0 V-Varen Nagasaki

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fagiano Okayama (Hemma)

Prognos 58.29%1.72rättvist odds
EV -2.07%
Fördel -1.23%
Kelly -3.04%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.68

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.68%58.09%58.30%60.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.531.601.601.6865.36%62.38%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

V-Varen Nagasaki (Borta)

Prognos 17.08%5.85rättvist odds
EV +0.789%
Fördel +0.134%
Kelly +0.161%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.70%17.19%17.17%19.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.755.215.255.9021.05%19.18%19.05%16.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.62%4.06rättvist odds
EV -2.00%
Fördel -0.503%
Kelly -0.672%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.98

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.68%24.72%24.53%26.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.503.683.653.9828.57%27.19%27.40%25.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Fagiano Okayama (Hemma): 58.29%; V-Varen Nagasaki (Borta): 17.08%; Oavgjort: 24.62%. För V-Varen Nagasaki (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.85. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.90, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.789%.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV +0.789%E +0.134%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -3.97%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 09:43
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -0.065%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -5.45%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 09:49
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.17%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.54%EV -0.407%E -0.070%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.29%EV -2.25%E -0.566%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 09:45
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -0.919%E -0.159%K -0.192%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.59%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV -1.77%E -0.308%K -0.373%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 09:44
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -1.77%E -0.308%K -0.373%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 09:49
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -4.34%E -0.774%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 09:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:44
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 09:43
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -10.13%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:45
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:43
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.11%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 09:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.11%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 09:44
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -7.75%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 09:48
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.71%EV -8.61%E -1.61%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.81%EV -2.00%E -0.503%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:50
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.97%EV -7.89%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.28%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:45
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.77%EV -7.89%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -10.13%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 09:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.59%EV -10.23%E -6.64%K -18.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 09:44
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.13%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.48%EV -7.89%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 09:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 09:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 09:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 09:50
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 09:49
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 09:49
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 09:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -12.88%E -2.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 09:49
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 09:45
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 09:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 09:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 09:45
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.97%EV -10.23%E -6.64%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.22%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 09:44
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:40
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:39
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:39
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:39
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 09:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 09:40
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -18.86%E -3.97%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 09:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-08-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-08-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-08-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-08-15 09:50
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52%2.0%2026-08-15 09:50
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%2.6%2026-08-15 09:44