Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Fagiano Okayama v V-Varen Nagasaki

Początek: 2026-08-15 09:55 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Fagiano Okayama 1–0 V-Varen Nagasaki

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

49 bukmacherów (15 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Fagiano Okayama (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 58.29%1.72kurs godziwy
EV -2.07%
Przewaga -1.23%
Kelly -3.04%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.68

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
54.68%58.09%58.30%60.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.531.601.601.6865.36%62.38%62.50%59.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

V-Varen Nagasaki (Goście)

Prognoza 17.08%5.85kurs godziwy
EV +0.789%
Przewaga +0.134%
Kelly +0.161%
Wzrost +0.001%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.70%17.19%17.17%19.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.755.215.255.9021.05%19.18%19.05%16.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 24.62%4.06kurs godziwy
EV -2.00%
Przewaga -0.503%
Kelly -0.672%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.98

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.68%24.72%24.53%26.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.503.683.653.9828.57%27.19%27.40%25.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Fagiano Okayama (Gospodarze): 58.29%; V-Varen Nagasaki (Goście): 17.08%; Remis: 24.62%. Dla wyniku V-Varen Nagasaki (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.85. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 5.90, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.789%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (49 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV +0.789%E +0.134%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -3.97%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 09:43
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -0.065%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -5.45%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 09:49
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.17%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.54%EV -0.407%E -0.070%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.29%EV -2.25%E -0.566%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 09:45
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -0.919%E -0.159%K -0.192%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.59%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV -1.77%E -0.308%K -0.373%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 09:44
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -1.77%E -0.308%K -0.373%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 09:49
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -4.34%E -0.774%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 09:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:44
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 09:43
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -10.13%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:45
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:43
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.11%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 09:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.11%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 09:44
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -7.75%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 09:48
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.71%EV -8.61%E -1.61%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.81%EV -2.00%E -0.503%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:50
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.97%EV -7.89%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.28%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:45
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.77%EV -7.89%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -10.13%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 09:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.59%EV -10.23%E -6.64%K -18.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 09:44
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.13%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.48%EV -7.89%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 09:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 09:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 09:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 09:50
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 09:49
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 09:49
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 09:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -12.88%E -2.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 09:49
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 09:45
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 09:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 09:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 09:45
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.97%EV -10.23%E -6.64%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.22%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 09:44
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:40
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:39
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:39
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:39
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 09:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 09:40
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -18.86%E -3.97%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 09:04
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-08-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-08-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-08-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-08-15 09:50
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52%2.0%2026-08-15 09:50
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%2.6%2026-08-15 09:44