Idioma:Español
Fagiano Okayama v V-Varen Nagasaki
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fagiano Okayama (Local)
Predicción 58.29%1.72momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -3.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.68%58.09%58.30%60.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.601.601.6865.36%62.38%62.50%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
V-Varen Nagasaki (Visitante)
Predicción 17.08%5.85momio equitativo
EV +0.789%
Ventaja +0.134%
Kelly +0.161%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.70%17.19%17.17%19.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.755.215.255.9021.05%19.18%19.05%16.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.62%4.06momio equitativo
EV -2.00%
Ventaja -0.503%
Kelly -0.672%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.68%24.72%24.53%26.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.683.653.9828.57%27.19%27.40%25.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Fagiano Okayama (Local): 58.29%; V-Varen Nagasaki (Visitante): 17.08%; Empate: 24.62%. Para V-Varen Nagasaki (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.85. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.789%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV +0.789%E +0.134%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -3.97%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 09:43 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -0.065%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -5.45%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.17%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.54%EV -0.407%E -0.070%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.29%EV -2.25%E -0.566%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -0.919%E -0.159%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.59%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV -1.77%E -0.308%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -1.77%E -0.308%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -4.34%E -0.774%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 09:43 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -10.13%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 09:43 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.11%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.11%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -7.75%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 09:48 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.71%EV -8.61%E -1.61%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.81%EV -2.00%E -0.503%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.97%EV -7.89%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.28%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.77%EV -7.89%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -10.13%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.59%EV -10.23%E -6.64%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.13%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.48%EV -7.89%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.90%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 09:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -9.64%E -6.22%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -10.32%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -11.36%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -12.88%E -2.52%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.97%EV -10.23%E -6.64%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.22%EV -16.29%E -3.33%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.59%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -18.00%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -18.86%E -3.97%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.82%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.43% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |