默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Padova v Empoli

开赛时间: 2026-04-12 13:02 UTC

最终结果: Padova 1–0 Empoli

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

54 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Padova (主队)

预测 30.90%3.24公平赔率
EV +1.97%
优势 +0.597%
Kelly +0.857%
增长率 +0.017%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
28.24%30.81%30.94%32.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.672.983.003.3037.45%33.59%33.33%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

Empoli (客队)

预测 38.84%2.57公平赔率
EV -2.51%
优势 -1.00%
Kelly -1.66%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.51

博彩公司预测分布
36.98%38.90%38.79%42.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.332.322.5150.00%42.87%43.10%39.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.26%3.30公平赔率
EV -1.66%
优势 -0.510%
Kelly -0.737%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布
28.51%30.29%30.27%33.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.633.033.053.2538.02%32.96%32.79%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Padova (主队):30.90%;Empoli (客队):38.84%;平局:30.26%。 对于“Padova (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.24。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.30,对应+1.97%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +1.97%E +0.597%K +0.857%G +0.017%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Pinnacle🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV +0.117%E +0.036%K +0.052%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.58%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.54%EV -7.10%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 12:59
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -1.12%E -0.350%K -0.508%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -15.27%E -5.45%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -3.17%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 12:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 12:59
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 13:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 13:00
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -18.30%E -6.78%K -10.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.32%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.83%EV -4.45%E -1.81%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -3.17%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 13:00
BetUS🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.47%EV -7.17%E -3.00%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.38%EV -11.34%E -3.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 12:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.73%EV -8.34%E -3.53%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.30%EV -11.64%E -3.99%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 13:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.73%EV -8.34%E -3.53%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.30%EV -11.64%E -3.99%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 12:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -4.84%E -1.98%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 12:57
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -1.66%E -0.510%K -0.737%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 13:00
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -3.17%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 13:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 12:59
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:01
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 12:59
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 13:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 13:01
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -18.30%E -6.78%K -10.76%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.11%EV -20.42%E -7.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -22.32%E -11.16%K -22.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -12.85%E -4.46%K -6.84%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-12 13:00
NordicBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.92%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Betsson🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.92%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 12:59
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -11.44%E -5.02%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -11.44%E -5.02%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 12:59
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.08%E -3.46%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.85%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.50%EV -2.56%E -0.797%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 12:59
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 12:59
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 13:00
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 12:59
888sport🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:59
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -12.85%E -4.46%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 13:00
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -4.84%E -1.98%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 13:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -14.55%E -6.61%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 13:01
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -13.48%E -4.81%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -7.56%E -3.18%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.20%EV -5.59%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.05%EV -13.48%E -4.81%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -16.49%E -7.67%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 32.65%EV -15.64%E -5.73%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.93%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.42%EV -8.31%E -2.74%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 13:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -17.50%E -6.55%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-12 13:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%1.5%2026-04-12 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%1.5%2026-04-12 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%1.5%2026-04-12 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.33%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.69%1.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.80%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.80%3.1%2026-04-12 13:00