A Escola das Odds

Padova v Empoli

Início: 2026-04-12 13:02 UTC

Final: Padova 1–0 Empoli

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Padova (Local)

Previsão 30.90%3.24odd justa
EV +1.97%
Vantagem +0.597%
Kelly +0.857%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.24%30.81%30.94%32.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.672.983.003.3037.45%33.59%33.33%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empoli (Visitante)

Previsão 38.84%2.57odd justa
EV -2.51%
Vantagem -1.00%
Kelly -1.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.98%38.90%38.79%42.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.332.322.5150.00%42.87%43.10%39.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.26%3.30odd justa
EV -1.66%
Vantagem -0.510%
Kelly -0.737%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.51%30.29%30.27%33.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.633.033.053.2538.02%32.96%32.79%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +1.97%E +0.597%K +0.857%G +0.017%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV +0.117%E +0.036%K +0.052%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.58%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.54%EV -7.10%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 12:59
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -1.12%E -0.350%K -0.508%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -15.27%E -5.45%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -3.17%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 12:59
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 12:59
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 13:00
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 13:00
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -18.30%E -6.78%K -10.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.32%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.83%EV -4.45%E -1.81%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -3.17%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 13:00
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.47%EV -7.17%E -3.00%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.38%EV -11.34%E -3.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 12:59
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.73%EV -8.34%E -3.53%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.30%EV -11.64%E -3.99%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 13:00
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.73%EV -8.34%E -3.53%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.30%EV -11.64%E -3.99%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 12:59
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -4.84%E -1.98%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 12:57
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -1.66%E -0.510%K -0.737%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 13:00
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -3.17%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 13:00
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 12:59
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:01
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 12:59
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 13:01
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 13:01
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -18.30%E -6.78%K -10.76%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.11%EV -20.42%E -7.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -22.32%E -11.16%K -22.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -12.85%E -4.46%K -6.84%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-12 13:00
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.92%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.92%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 12:59
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -11.44%E -5.02%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -11.44%E -5.02%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 12:59
1xBet2.91I 34.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.08%E -3.46%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.85%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.50%EV -2.56%E -0.797%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 12:59
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 12:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 13:00
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 13:00
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 12:59
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:59
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:59
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:59
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -12.85%E -4.46%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 13:00
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -4.84%E -1.98%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 13:00
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -14.55%E -6.61%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 13:01
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -13.48%E -4.81%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -7.56%E -3.18%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.20%EV -5.59%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.05%EV -13.48%E -4.81%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -16.49%E -7.67%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 32.65%EV -15.64%E -5.73%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.93%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.42%EV -8.31%E -2.74%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 13:00
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -17.50%E -6.55%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%1.5%2026-04-12 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%1.5%2026-04-12 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%1.5%2026-04-12 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.33%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.69%1.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.80%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.80%3.1%2026-04-12 13:00