L’École des cotesPadova v Empoli
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Padova (Local)
Prévision 30.90%3.24cote équitable
EV +1.97%
Avantage +0.597%
Kelly +0.857%
Croissance +0.017%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.24%30.81%30.94%32.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.672.983.003.3037.45%33.59%33.33%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Empoli (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.84%2.57cote équitable
EV -2.51%
Avantage -1.00%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.98%38.90%38.79%42.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.332.322.5150.00%42.87%43.10%39.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.26%3.30cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.510%
Kelly -0.737%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.51%30.29%30.27%33.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.633.033.053.2538.02%32.96%32.79%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +1.97%E +0.597%K +0.857%G +0.017% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV +0.117%E +0.036%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.58%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.54%EV -7.10%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -1.12%E -0.350%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -15.27%E -5.45%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -3.17%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -18.30%E -6.78%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.32%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.83%EV -4.45%E -1.81%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -3.17%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.47%EV -7.17%E -3.00%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.38%EV -11.34%E -3.87%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.73%EV -8.34%E -3.53%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.30%EV -11.64%E -3.99%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.73%EV -8.34%E -3.53%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.30%EV -11.64%E -3.99%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -4.84%E -1.98%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 12:57 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -1.66%E -0.510%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -3.17%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Casumo | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| betPARX | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 13:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 13:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 13:01 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -18.30%E -6.78%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.11%EV -20.42%E -7.76%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -22.32%E -11.16%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -12.85%E -4.46%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.92%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Betsson | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.92%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -11.44%E -5.02%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -11.44%E -5.02%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.08%E -3.46%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.85%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.50%EV -2.56%E -0.797%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Betway | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| 888sport | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -12.85%E -4.46%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -4.84%E -1.98%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -14.55%E -6.61%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-12 13:01 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -13.48%E -4.81%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -7.56%E -3.18%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.20%EV -5.59%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.05%EV -13.48%E -4.81%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -16.49%E -7.67%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.65%EV -15.64%E -5.73%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.93%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.42%EV -8.31%E -2.74%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -17.50%E -6.55%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.33% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.69% | 1.8% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.80% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.80% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |