La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Padova v Empoli
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Padova (Casa)
Previsione 30.90%3.24quota equa
EV +1.97%
Vantaggio +0.597%
Kelly +0.857%
Crescita +0.017%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.24%30.81%30.94%32.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.672.983.003.3037.45%33.59%33.33%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empoli (Trasferta)
Previsione 38.84%2.57quota equa
EV -2.51%
Vantaggio -1.00%
Kelly -1.66%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.51
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.98%38.90%38.79%42.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.332.322.5150.00%42.87%43.10%39.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 30.26%3.30quota equa
EV -1.66%
Vantaggio -0.510%
Kelly -0.737%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.51%30.29%30.27%33.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.633.033.053.2538.02%32.96%32.79%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +1.97%E +0.597%K +0.857%G +0.017% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV +0.117%E +0.036%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.58%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.54%EV -7.10%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -1.12%E -0.350%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -15.27%E -5.45%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -3.17%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -18.30%E -6.78%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.32%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.83%EV -4.45%E -1.81%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -3.17%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.47%EV -7.17%E -3.00%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.38%EV -11.34%E -3.87%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.73%EV -8.34%E -3.53%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.30%EV -11.64%E -3.99%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.73%EV -8.34%E -3.53%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.30%EV -11.64%E -3.99%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -4.84%E -1.98%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 12:57 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -1.66%E -0.510%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -3.17%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Casumo | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| betPARX | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 13:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 13:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 13:01 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -18.30%E -6.78%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.11%EV -20.42%E -7.76%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -22.32%E -11.16%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -12.85%E -4.46%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.92%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Betsson | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.92%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -11.44%E -5.02%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -11.44%E -5.02%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.08%E -3.46%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.85%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.50%EV -2.56%E -0.797%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Betway | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| 888sport | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -12.85%E -4.46%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -4.84%E -1.98%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -14.55%E -6.61%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-12 13:01 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -13.48%E -4.81%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -7.56%E -3.18%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.20%EV -5.59%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.05%EV -13.48%E -4.81%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -16.49%E -7.67%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.65%EV -15.64%E -5.73%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.93%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.42%EV -8.31%E -2.74%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -17.50%E -6.55%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.33% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.69% | 1.8% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.80% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.80% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |