Школа коэффициентов

Padova v Empoli

Начало: 2026-04-12 13:02 UTC

Итог: Padova 1–0 Empoli

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

54 букмекерские конторы (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Padova (Хозяева)

Прогноз 30.90%3.24справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.97%
Преимущество +0.597%
Kelly +0.857%
Рост +0.017%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.24%30.81%30.94%32.65%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.672.983.003.3037.45%33.59%33.33%30.30%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Empoli (Гости)

Прогноз 38.84%2.57справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.51%
Преимущество -1.00%
Kelly -1.66%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.51

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.98%38.90%38.79%42.35%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.332.322.5150.00%42.87%43.10%39.84%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 30.26%3.30справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.66%
Преимущество -0.510%
Kelly -0.737%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.51%30.29%30.27%33.11%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.633.033.053.2538.02%32.96%32.79%30.77%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (54 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +1.97%E +0.597%K +0.857%G +0.017%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV +0.117%E +0.036%K +0.052%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.58%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.54%EV -7.10%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 12:59
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -1.12%E -0.350%K -0.508%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -15.27%E -5.45%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -3.17%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 12:59
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 12:59
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 13:00
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 13:00
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -18.30%E -6.78%K -10.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.32%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.83%EV -4.45%E -1.81%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -3.17%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 13:00
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.47%EV -7.17%E -3.00%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.38%EV -11.34%E -3.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 12:59
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.73%EV -8.34%E -3.53%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.30%EV -11.64%E -3.99%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 13:00
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.73%EV -8.34%E -3.53%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.30%EV -11.64%E -3.99%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 12:59
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -4.84%E -1.98%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 12:57
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -1.66%E -0.510%K -0.737%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 13:00
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -3.17%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 13:00
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 12:59
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:01
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 12:59
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 13:01
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 13:01
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -18.30%E -6.78%K -10.76%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.11%EV -20.42%E -7.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -22.32%E -11.16%K -22.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -12.85%E -4.46%K -6.84%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-12 13:00
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.92%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.92%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 12:59
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -11.44%E -5.02%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -11.44%E -5.02%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 12:59
1xBet2.91I 34.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.08%E -3.46%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.85%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.50%EV -2.56%E -0.797%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 12:59
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 12:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 13:00
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 13:00
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 12:59
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:59
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:59
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:59
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -12.85%E -4.46%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 13:00
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -4.84%E -1.98%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 13:00
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -14.55%E -6.61%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 13:01
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -13.48%E -4.81%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -7.56%E -3.18%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.20%EV -5.59%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.05%EV -13.48%E -4.81%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -16.49%E -7.67%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 32.65%EV -15.64%E -5.73%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.93%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.42%EV -8.31%E -2.74%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 13:00
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -17.50%E -6.55%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%1.5%2026-04-12 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%1.5%2026-04-12 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%1.5%2026-04-12 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.33%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.69%1.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.80%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.80%3.1%2026-04-12 13:00