مدرسة الاحتمالات

Padova v Empoli

البداية: 2026-04-12 13:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Padova 1–0 Empoli

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Padova (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.90%3.24السعر العادل
EV +1.97%
الأفضلية +0.597%
Kelly +0.857%
النمو +0.017%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.24%30.81%30.94%32.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.672.983.003.3037.45%33.59%33.33%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Empoli (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.84%2.57السعر العادل
EV -2.51%
الأفضلية -1.00%
Kelly -1.66%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.98%38.90%38.79%42.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.332.322.5150.00%42.87%43.10%39.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.26%3.30السعر العادل
EV -1.66%
الأفضلية -0.510%
Kelly -0.737%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.51%30.29%30.27%33.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.633.033.053.2538.02%32.96%32.79%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +1.97%E +0.597%K +0.857%G +0.017%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV +0.117%E +0.036%K +0.052%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.58%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.54%EV -7.10%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 12:59
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -1.12%E -0.350%K -0.508%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -15.27%E -5.45%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -3.17%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 12:59
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 12:59
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 13:00
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 13:00
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -18.30%E -6.78%K -10.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.32%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.83%EV -4.45%E -1.81%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -3.17%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 13:00
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.47%EV -7.17%E -3.00%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.38%EV -11.34%E -3.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 12:59
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.73%EV -8.34%E -3.53%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.30%EV -11.64%E -3.99%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 13:00
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.73%EV -8.34%E -3.53%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.30%EV -11.64%E -3.99%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 12:59
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -4.84%E -1.98%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 12:57
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -1.66%E -0.510%K -0.737%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 13:00
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -3.17%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 13:00
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 12:59
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:01
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 12:59
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 13:01
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 13:01
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -18.30%E -6.78%K -10.76%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.11%EV -20.42%E -7.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -22.32%E -11.16%K -22.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -12.85%E -4.46%K -6.84%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-12 13:00
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.92%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.92%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 12:59
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -11.44%E -5.02%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -11.44%E -5.02%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 12:59
1xBet2.91I 34.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.08%E -3.46%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.85%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.50%EV -2.56%E -0.797%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 12:59
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 12:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 13:00
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 13:00
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 12:59
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:59
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:59
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:59
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -11.01%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -12.85%E -4.46%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 13:00
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -4.84%E -1.98%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 13:00
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -14.55%E -6.61%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 13:01
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -13.48%E -4.81%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -7.56%E -3.18%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.20%EV -5.59%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.05%EV -13.48%E -4.81%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -16.49%E -7.67%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 32.65%EV -15.64%E -5.73%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.93%EV -8.73%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.42%EV -8.31%E -2.74%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 13:00
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -17.50%E -6.55%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-12 13:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%1.5%2026-04-12 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%1.5%2026-04-12 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%1.5%2026-04-12 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.33%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.69%1.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.80%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.80%3.1%2026-04-12 13:00