Language:English
MSV Duisburg v FC Würzburger Kickers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
MSV Duisburg (Local)
Prediction 62.32%1.60fair odd
EV -5.89%
Edge -3.90%
Kelly -11.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.50%62.40%62.32%63.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.471.481.5171.94%68.11%67.57%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Würzburger Kickers (Visit)
Prediction 16.05%6.23fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -0.561%
Kelly -0.673%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.67%16.01%16.08%17.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.555.506.0220.83%18.03%18.18%16.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.63%4.62fair odd
EV -0.513%
Edge -0.112%
Kelly -0.143%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.32%21.58%21.60%23.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.144.204.6027.78%24.15%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: MSV Duisburg (Local): 62.32%; FC Würzburger Kickers (Visit): 16.05%; Draw: 21.63%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.60, with an expected value of -0.513%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.70%EV -3.38%E -0.561%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.29%EV -3.97%E -0.895%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.68%E -0.595%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 06:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.08%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 04:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -10.25%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 04:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -10.25%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 04:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -10.12%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -6.35%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 10:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.13%EV -10.12%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -14.57%E -3.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 04:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -8.39%E -5.70%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.513%E -0.112%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -8.39%E -5.70%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -13.33%E -2.47%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 06:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.35%EV -9.01%E -6.17%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 04:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 04:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 04:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.29%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -14.93%E -2.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.93%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -11.33%E -2.76%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 11:46 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -19.75%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.62%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.68%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -17.82%E -4.69%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.50%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.36%EV -22.96%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.14%EV -22.14%E -6.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-08-29 02:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.50%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.36%EV -22.96%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.14%EV -22.14%E -6.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-08-29 02:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -13.37%E -9.62%K -34.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 11:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 11:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 11:56 |