Langue:Français
MSV Duisburg v FC Würzburger Kickers
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
MSV Duisburg (Local)
Prévision 62.32%1.60cote équitable
EV -5.89%
Avantage -3.90%
Kelly -11.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.50%62.40%62.32%63.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.391.471.481.5171.94%68.11%67.57%66.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
FC Würzburger Kickers (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.05%6.23cote équitable
EV -3.38%
Avantage -0.561%
Kelly -0.673%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 6.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.67%16.01%16.08%17.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.555.506.0220.83%18.03%18.18%16.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 21.63%4.62cote équitable
EV -0.513%
Avantage -0.112%
Kelly -0.143%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.32%21.58%21.60%23.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.144.204.6027.78%24.15%23.81%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : MSV Duisburg (Local) : 62.32% ; FC Würzburger Kickers (Visiteur) : 16.05% ; Match nul : 21.63%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.62. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.60, pour une espérance de -0.513% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.70%EV -3.38%E -0.561%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.29%EV -3.97%E -0.895%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.68%E -0.595%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 06:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.08%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 04:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -10.25%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 04:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -10.25%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 04:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -10.12%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -6.35%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 10:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.13%EV -10.12%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -14.57%E -3.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 04:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -8.39%E -5.70%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.513%E -0.112%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -8.39%E -5.70%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -13.33%E -2.47%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 06:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.35%EV -9.01%E -6.17%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 04:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 04:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 04:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.29%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -14.93%E -2.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.93%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -11.33%E -2.76%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 11:46 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -19.75%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.62%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.68%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -17.82%E -4.69%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.50%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.36%EV -22.96%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.14%EV -22.14%E -6.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-08-29 02:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.50%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.36%EV -22.96%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.14%EV -22.14%E -6.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-08-29 02:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -13.37%E -9.62%K -34.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 11:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 11:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 11:56 |