Idioma:Español
MSV Duisburg v FC Würzburger Kickers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
MSV Duisburg (Local)
Predicción 62.32%1.60momio equitativo
EV -5.89%
Ventaja -3.90%
Kelly -11.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.50%62.40%62.32%63.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.391.471.481.5171.94%68.11%67.57%66.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
FC Würzburger Kickers (Visitante)
Predicción 16.05%6.23momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -0.561%
Kelly -0.673%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.67%16.01%16.08%17.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.805.555.506.0220.83%18.03%18.18%16.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.63%4.62momio equitativo
EV -0.513%
Ventaja -0.112%
Kelly -0.143%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.32%21.58%21.60%23.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.604.144.204.6027.78%24.15%23.81%21.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: MSV Duisburg (Local): 62.32%; FC Würzburger Kickers (Visitante): 16.05%; Empate: 21.63%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.62. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.60, con un valor esperado de -0.513%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.70%EV -3.38%E -0.561%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.29%EV -3.97%E -0.895%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.68%E -0.595%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 06:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.08%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 04:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -10.25%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 04:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -10.25%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 04:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -10.12%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -6.35%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 10:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.13%EV -10.12%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -14.57%E -3.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 04:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -8.39%E -5.70%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.513%E -0.112%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -8.39%E -5.70%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -13.33%E -2.47%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 06:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.35%EV -9.01%E -6.17%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 04:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 04:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 04:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.29%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -14.93%E -2.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.93%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -11.33%E -2.76%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 11:46 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -19.75%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.62%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.68%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -17.82%E -4.69%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.50%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.36%EV -22.96%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.14%EV -22.14%E -6.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-08-29 02:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.50%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.36%EV -22.96%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.14%EV -22.14%E -6.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-08-29 02:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -13.37%E -9.62%K -34.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 11:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 11:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 11:56 |