StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

MSV Duisburg v FC Würzburger Kickers

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-29 12:03 UTC

Endstand: MSV Duisburg 3–0 FC Würzburger Kickers

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

43 Wettanbieter (11 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

MSV Duisburg (Heim)

Prognose 62.32%1.60faire Quote
EV -5.89%
Vorteil -3.90%
Kelly -11.56%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.51

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
59.50%62.40%62.32%63.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.391.471.481.5171.94%68.11%67.57%66.23%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

FC Würzburger Kickers (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.05%6.23faire Quote
EV -3.38%
Vorteil -0.561%
Kelly -0.673%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.02

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.67%16.01%16.08%17.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.805.555.506.0220.83%18.03%18.18%16.61%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 21.63%4.62faire Quote
EV -0.513%
Vorteil -0.112%
Kelly -0.143%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.32%21.58%21.60%23.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.604.144.204.6027.78%24.15%23.81%21.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: MSV Duisburg (Heim): 62.32%; FC Würzburger Kickers (Auswärts): 16.05%; Unentschieden: 21.63%. Für Unentschieden entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.62. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 4.60, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.513%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (43 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 10:56
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 10:56
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 15.70%EV -3.38%E -0.561%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.29%EV -3.97%E -0.895%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 11:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.68%E -0.595%K -0.765%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 06:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.08%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 04:15
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -10.25%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 04:15
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -10.25%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 04:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -10.12%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 04:20
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 11:55
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -6.35%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 10:10
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 04:20
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.13%EV -10.12%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -14.57%E -3.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 11:55
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 11:55
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 04:19
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 04:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 04:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 04:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -8.39%E -5.70%K -17.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.513%E -0.112%K -0.143%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -8.39%E -5.70%K -17.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -13.33%E -2.47%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 06:40
Suprabets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.35%EV -9.01%E -6.17%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 09:45
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 04:20
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 04:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 04:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 04:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.29%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -14.93%E -2.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 11:15
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.93%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 04:20
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -11.33%E -2.76%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 11:46
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -19.75%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-29 11:55
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.62%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.68%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -17.82%E -4.69%K -6.36%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-29 11:40
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.50%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.36%EV -22.96%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.14%EV -22.14%E -6.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%20.0%2026-08-29 02:54
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.50%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.36%EV -22.96%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.14%EV -22.14%E -6.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%20.0%2026-08-29 02:54
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -13.37%E -9.62%K -34.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-29 11:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (3)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-08-29 11:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-08-29 11:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-08-29 11:56