语言:简体中文
MSV Duisburg v FC Würzburger Kickers
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
MSV Duisburg (主队)
预测 62.32%1.60公平赔率
EV -5.89%
优势 -3.90%
Kelly -11.56%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.51
博彩公司预测分布
59.50%62.40%62.32%63.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.391.471.481.5171.94%68.11%67.57%66.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
FC Würzburger Kickers (客队)
预测 16.05%6.23公平赔率
EV -3.38%
优势 -0.561%
Kelly -0.673%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 6.02
博彩公司预测分布
14.67%16.01%16.08%17.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.555.506.0220.83%18.03%18.18%16.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 21.63%4.62公平赔率
EV -0.513%
优势 -0.112%
Kelly -0.143%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.60
博彩公司预测分布
20.32%21.58%21.60%23.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.604.144.204.6027.78%24.15%23.81%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：MSV Duisburg (主队)：62.32%；FC Würzburger Kickers (客队)：16.05%；平局：21.63%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.62。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.60，期望值为-0.513%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.70%EV -3.38%E -0.561%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.29%EV -3.97%E -0.895%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.68%E -0.595%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 06:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.08%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 04:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -10.25%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 04:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -10.25%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 04:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -10.12%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -6.35%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 10:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.13%EV -10.12%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -14.57%E -3.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 04:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -8.39%E -5.70%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.513%E -0.112%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -8.39%E -5.70%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -13.33%E -2.47%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 06:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.35%EV -9.01%E -6.17%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 04:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 04:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 04:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.29%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -14.93%E -2.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.93%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -11.33%E -2.76%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 11:46 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -19.75%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.62%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.68%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -17.82%E -4.69%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.50%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.36%EV -22.96%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.14%EV -22.14%E -6.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-08-29 02:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.50%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.36%EV -22.96%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.14%EV -22.14%E -6.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-08-29 02:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -13.37%E -9.62%K -34.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 11:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 11:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 11:56 |