Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

MSV Duisburg v FC Würzburger Kickers

Inizio: 2026-08-29 12:03 UTC

Finale: MSV Duisburg 3–0 FC Würzburger Kickers

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

43 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

MSV Duisburg (Casa)

Previsione 62.32%1.60quota equa
EV -5.89%
Vantaggio -3.90%
Kelly -11.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.50%62.40%62.32%63.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.391.471.481.5171.94%68.11%67.57%66.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

FC Würzburger Kickers (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.05%6.23quota equa
EV -3.38%
Vantaggio -0.561%
Kelly -0.673%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.67%16.01%16.08%17.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.805.555.506.0220.83%18.03%18.18%16.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 21.63%4.62quota equa
EV -0.513%
Vantaggio -0.112%
Kelly -0.143%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.32%21.58%21.60%23.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.144.204.6027.78%24.15%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: MSV Duisburg (Casa): 62.32%; FC Würzburger Kickers (Trasferta): 16.05%; Pareggio: 21.63%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.62. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 4.60, con un valore atteso del -0.513%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 10:56
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 10:56
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 15.70%EV -3.38%E -0.561%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.29%EV -3.97%E -0.895%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 11:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.68%E -0.595%K -0.765%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 06:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.08%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 04:15
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -10.25%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 04:15
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -10.25%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 04:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -10.12%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 04:20
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 11:55
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -6.35%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 10:10
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 04:20
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.13%EV -10.12%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -14.57%E -3.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 11:55
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 11:55
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 04:19
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 04:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 04:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 04:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -8.39%E -5.70%K -17.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.513%E -0.112%K -0.143%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -8.39%E -5.70%K -17.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -13.33%E -2.47%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 06:40
Suprabets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.35%EV -9.01%E -6.17%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 09:45
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 04:20
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 04:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 04:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 04:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.29%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -14.93%E -2.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 11:15
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.93%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 04:20
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -11.33%E -2.76%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 11:46
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -19.75%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-29 11:55
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.62%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.68%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -17.82%E -4.69%K -6.36%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-29 11:40
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.50%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.36%EV -22.96%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.14%EV -22.14%E -6.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%20.0%2026-08-29 02:54
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.50%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.36%EV -22.96%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.14%EV -22.14%E -6.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%20.0%2026-08-29 02:54
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -13.37%E -9.62%K -34.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-29 11:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-08-29 11:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-08-29 11:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-08-29 11:56