StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

MSV Duisburg v FC Würzburger Kickers

Matchstart: 2026-08-29 12:03 UTC

Slutresultat: MSV Duisburg 3–0 FC Würzburger Kickers

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

43 spelbolag (11 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

MSV Duisburg (Hemma)

Prognos 62.32%1.60rättvist odds
EV -5.89%
Fördel -3.90%
Kelly -11.56%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.51

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
59.50%62.40%62.32%63.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.391.471.481.5171.94%68.11%67.57%66.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

FC Würzburger Kickers (Borta)

Prognos 16.05%6.23rättvist odds
EV -3.38%
Fördel -0.561%
Kelly -0.673%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.02

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.67%16.01%16.08%17.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.805.555.506.0220.83%18.03%18.18%16.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 21.63%4.62rättvist odds
EV -0.513%
Fördel -0.112%
Kelly -0.143%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.32%21.58%21.60%23.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.604.144.204.6027.78%24.15%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: MSV Duisburg (Hemma): 62.32%; FC Würzburger Kickers (Borta): 16.05%; Oavgjort: 21.63%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.62. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 4.60, med väntevärdet -0.513%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (43 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 10:56
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 10:56
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 15.70%EV -3.38%E -0.561%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.29%EV -3.97%E -0.895%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 11:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.68%E -0.595%K -0.765%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 06:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.08%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 04:15
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.52%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:15
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -10.25%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 04:15
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -10.25%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 04:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -10.12%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 04:20
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 11:55
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -6.35%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 10:10
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 04:20
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.13%EV -10.12%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -14.57%E -3.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 11:55
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 11:55
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 04:19
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 04:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 04:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.76%E -5.25%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 04:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -8.39%E -5.70%K -17.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.513%E -0.112%K -0.143%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -8.39%E -5.70%K -17.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -13.33%E -2.47%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 06:40
Suprabets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.35%EV -9.01%E -6.17%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 09:45
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 04:20
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 04:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 04:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 04:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.29%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -14.93%E -2.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 11:15
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.93%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 04:20
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -11.33%E -2.76%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 11:46
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -19.75%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -9.16%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-29 11:55
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.62%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.68%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -17.82%E -4.69%K -6.36%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-29 11:40
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.50%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.36%EV -22.96%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.14%EV -22.14%E -6.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%20.0%2026-08-29 02:54
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.50%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.36%EV -22.96%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.14%EV -22.14%E -6.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%20.0%2026-08-29 02:54
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -13.37%E -9.62%K -34.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -3.70%E -0.617%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -13.49%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-29 11:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-08-29 11:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-08-29 11:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-08-29 11:56