Школа коэффициентов

FC Ingolstadt 04 v Erzgebirge Aue

Начало: 2026-05-03 17:30 UTC

Итог: FC Ingolstadt 04 3–5 Erzgebirge Aue

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

42 букмекерские конторы (11 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Хозяева)

Прогноз 56.73%1.76справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.13%
Преимущество -2.44%
Kelly -5.99%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.69

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
53.68%56.52%56.82%57.94%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.531.621.631.6965.36%61.58%61.35%59.17%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Erzgebirge Aue (Гости)

Прогноз 21.28%4.70справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.13%
Преимущество -0.464%
Kelly -0.592%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.34%21.28%21.27%23.13%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.604.204.254.6027.78%23.84%23.53%21.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 22.00%4.55справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.21%
Преимущество -0.730%
Kelly -0.945%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.99%22.20%21.92%24.22%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.404.003.984.4029.41%25.00%25.16%22.73%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (42 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.93%EV -3.41%E -0.751%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.84%EV -8.49%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:20
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.87%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -15.31%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 17:15
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 17:25
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 17:25
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 17:25
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 17:21
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 17:20
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 16:54
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -2.13%E -0.464%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 17:24
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -2.13%E -0.464%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 17:26
Suprabets1.63I 61.35%NM 55.75%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.12%EV -13.55%E -3.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 17:19
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 17:19
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.45%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 17:21
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.45%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 17:21
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 17:20
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.88%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.45%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:21
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 17:21
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.81%E -2.39%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 17:24
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 17:26
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 17:21
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 17:15
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 17:20
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 17:15
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 54.12%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -19.15%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-03 17:25
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 17:15
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 55.07%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -17.03%E -4.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.75%EV -16.41%E -4.32%K -5.86%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-03 17:25
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -20.22%E -5.39%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -16.41%E -4.32%K -5.86%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-03 17:15
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.94%EV -11.51%E -7.38%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 17:15
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 53.73%EV -12.07%E -7.79%K -21.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -23.41%E -6.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -20.81%E -5.78%K -8.00%G +0.000%20.1%2026-05-03 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 53.82%EV -13.21%E -8.63%K -24.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.96%EV -20.22%E -5.39%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.22%EV -25.21%E -7.41%K -10.50%G +0.000%21.4%2026-05-03 17:25
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (3)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.38%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30%1.9%2026-05-03 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22%2.3%2026-05-03 17:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22%2.3%2026-05-03 17:21