Sprache:Deutsch
FC Ingolstadt 04 v Erzgebirge Aue
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Heim)
Prognose 56.73%1.76faire Quote
EV -4.13%
Vorteil -2.44%
Kelly -5.99%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.69
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.68%56.52%56.82%57.94%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.531.621.631.6965.36%61.58%61.35%59.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Erzgebirge Aue (Auswärts)
Prognose 21.28%4.70faire Quote
EV -2.13%
Vorteil -0.464%
Kelly -0.592%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 4.60
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.34%21.28%21.27%23.13%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.604.204.254.6027.78%23.84%23.53%21.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Unentschieden
Prognose 22.00%4.55faire Quote
EV -3.21%
Vorteil -0.730%
Kelly -0.945%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 4.40
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.99%22.20%21.92%24.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.404.003.984.4029.41%25.00%25.16%22.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: FC Ingolstadt 04 (Heim): 56.73%; Erzgebirge Aue (Auswärts): 21.28%; Unentschieden: 22.00%. Für Erzgebirge Aue (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.70. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 4.60, bei einem Erwartungswert von -2.13%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.
Wettanbieterquoten (42 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Unentschieden | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.93%EV -3.41%E -0.751%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.84%EV -8.49%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.87%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -15.31%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -2.13%E -0.464%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 17:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -2.13%E -0.464%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 17:26 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.75%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.12%EV -13.55%E -3.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 17:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 17:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.45%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.45%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.88%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.45%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.81%E -2.39%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 17:26 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.12%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -19.15%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.07%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -17.03%E -4.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.75%EV -16.41%E -4.32%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -20.22%E -5.39%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -16.41%E -4.32%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.94%EV -11.51%E -7.38%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 53.73%EV -12.07%E -7.79%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -23.41%E -6.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -20.81%E -5.78%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 53.82%EV -13.21%E -8.63%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 21.96%EV -20.22%E -5.39%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.22%EV -25.21%E -7.41%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (3)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Unentschieden | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.38% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30% | 1.9% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |