La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
FC Ingolstadt 04 v Erzgebirge Aue
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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FC Ingolstadt 04 (Casa)
Previsione 56.73%1.76quota equa
EV -4.13%
Vantaggio -2.44%
Kelly -5.99%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.68%56.52%56.82%57.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.621.631.6965.36%61.58%61.35%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Erzgebirge Aue (Trasferta)
Previsione 21.28%4.70quota equa
EV -2.13%
Vantaggio -0.464%
Kelly -0.592%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.34%21.28%21.27%23.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.204.254.6027.78%23.84%23.53%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 22.00%4.55quota equa
EV -3.21%
Vantaggio -0.730%
Kelly -0.945%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.99%22.20%21.92%24.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.404.003.984.4029.41%25.00%25.16%22.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.93%EV -3.41%E -0.751%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.84%EV -8.49%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.87%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -15.31%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -2.13%E -0.464%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 17:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -2.13%E -0.464%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 17:26 |
| Suprabets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.75%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.12%EV -13.55%E -3.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 17:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 17:19 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.45%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.45%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.88%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.45%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.81%E -2.39%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 17:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 17:26 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.12%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -19.15%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.07%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -17.03%E -4.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.75%EV -16.41%E -4.32%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -20.22%E -5.39%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -16.41%E -4.32%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.94%EV -11.51%E -7.38%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 53.73%EV -12.07%E -7.79%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -23.41%E -6.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -20.81%E -5.78%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 53.82%EV -13.21%E -8.63%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 21.96%EV -20.22%E -5.39%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.22%EV -25.21%E -7.41%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.38% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30% | 1.9% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |