Szkoła Kursów

FC Ingolstadt 04 v Erzgebirge Aue

Początek: 2026-05-03 17:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: FC Ingolstadt 04 3–5 Erzgebirge Aue

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

42 bukmacherów (11 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 56.73%1.76kurs godziwy
EV -4.13%
Przewaga -2.44%
Kelly -5.99%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.69

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
53.68%56.52%56.82%57.94%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.531.621.631.6965.36%61.58%61.35%59.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Erzgebirge Aue (Goście)

Prognoza 21.28%4.70kurs godziwy
EV -2.13%
Przewaga -0.464%
Kelly -0.592%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.34%21.28%21.27%23.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.604.204.254.6027.78%23.84%23.53%21.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 22.00%4.55kurs godziwy
EV -3.21%
Przewaga -0.730%
Kelly -0.945%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.99%22.20%21.92%24.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.404.003.984.4029.41%25.00%25.16%22.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (42 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.93%EV -3.41%E -0.751%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.84%EV -8.49%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:20
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.87%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -15.31%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 17:15
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 17:25
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 17:25
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 17:25
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 17:21
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 17:20
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 16:54
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -2.13%E -0.464%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 17:24
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -2.13%E -0.464%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 17:26
Suprabets1.63I 61.35%NM 55.75%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.12%EV -13.55%E -3.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 17:19
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 17:19
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.45%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 17:21
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.45%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 17:21
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 17:20
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.88%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.45%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:21
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 17:21
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.81%E -2.39%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 17:24
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 17:26
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 17:21
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 17:15
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 17:20
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 17:15
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 54.12%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -19.15%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-03 17:25
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 17:15
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 55.07%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -17.03%E -4.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.75%EV -16.41%E -4.32%K -5.86%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-03 17:25
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -20.22%E -5.39%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -16.41%E -4.32%K -5.86%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-03 17:15
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.94%EV -11.51%E -7.38%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 17:15
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 53.73%EV -12.07%E -7.79%K -21.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -23.41%E -6.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -20.81%E -5.78%K -8.00%G +0.000%20.1%2026-05-03 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 53.82%EV -13.21%E -8.63%K -24.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.96%EV -20.22%E -5.39%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.22%EV -25.21%E -7.41%K -10.50%G +0.000%21.4%2026-05-03 17:25
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (3)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.38%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30%1.9%2026-05-03 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22%2.3%2026-05-03 17:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22%2.3%2026-05-03 17:21