L’École des cotesFC Ingolstadt 04 v Erzgebirge Aue
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)
Prévision 56.73%1.76cote équitable
EV -4.13%
Avantage -2.44%
Kelly -5.99%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.69
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.68%56.52%56.82%57.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.621.631.6965.36%61.58%61.35%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Erzgebirge Aue (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.28%4.70cote équitable
EV -2.13%
Avantage -0.464%
Kelly -0.592%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.34%21.28%21.27%23.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.204.254.6027.78%23.84%23.53%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.00%4.55cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -0.730%
Kelly -0.945%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.99%22.20%21.92%24.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.003.984.4029.41%25.00%25.16%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.93%EV -3.41%E -0.751%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.84%EV -8.49%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.87%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -15.31%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -2.13%E -0.464%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 17:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -2.13%E -0.464%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 17:26 |
| Suprabets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.75%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.12%EV -13.55%E -3.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 17:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 17:19 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.45%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.45%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.88%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.45%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.81%E -2.39%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 17:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 17:26 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.12%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -19.15%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.07%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -17.03%E -4.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.75%EV -16.41%E -4.32%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -20.22%E -5.39%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -16.41%E -4.32%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.94%EV -11.51%E -7.38%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 53.73%EV -12.07%E -7.79%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -23.41%E -6.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -20.81%E -5.78%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 53.82%EV -13.21%E -8.63%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 21.96%EV -20.22%E -5.39%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.22%EV -25.21%E -7.41%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.38% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30% | 1.9% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |