مدرسة الاحتمالاتFC Ingolstadt 04 v Erzgebirge Aue
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
FC Ingolstadt 04 (المضيف)
التنبؤ 56.73%1.76السعر العادل
EV -4.13%
الأفضلية -2.44%
Kelly -5.99%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.69
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.68%56.52%56.82%57.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.621.631.6965.36%61.58%61.35%59.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Erzgebirge Aue (الضيف)
التنبؤ 21.28%4.70السعر العادل
EV -2.13%
الأفضلية -0.464%
Kelly -0.592%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.60
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.34%21.28%21.27%23.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.204.254.6027.78%23.84%23.53%21.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 22.00%4.55السعر العادل
EV -3.21%
الأفضلية -0.730%
Kelly -0.945%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.40
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.99%22.20%21.92%24.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.404.003.984.4029.41%25.00%25.16%22.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (42 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.93%EV -3.41%E -0.751%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.84%EV -8.49%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.87%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -15.31%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -2.13%E -0.464%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 17:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -2.13%E -0.464%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 17:26 |
| Suprabets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.75%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.12%EV -13.55%E -3.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 17:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 17:19 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.45%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.45%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.88%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.45%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.81%E -2.39%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 17:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 17:26 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.12%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -19.15%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -17.51%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.07%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -17.03%E -4.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.75%EV -16.41%E -4.32%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -20.22%E -5.39%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -16.41%E -4.32%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.94%EV -11.51%E -7.38%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 53.73%EV -12.07%E -7.79%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -23.41%E -6.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -20.81%E -5.78%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 53.82%EV -13.21%E -8.63%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 21.96%EV -20.22%E -5.39%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.22%EV -25.21%E -7.41%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (3)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.38% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30% | 1.9% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:21 |