Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bayern Munich v Union Berlin

Kickoff: 2026-09-18 18:30 UTC

Final: Bayern Munich 7–0 Union Berlin

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

67 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bayern Munich (Local)

Prediction 91.72%1.09fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -26.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.38%91.61%91.72%93.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.041.041.0799.01%96.35%96.15%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Union Berlin (Visit)

Prediction 2.80%35.75fair odd
EV +42.64%
Edge +0.836%
Kelly +0.853%
Growth +0.364%

assuming max odds 51.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.88%2.87%2.78%4.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
19.0032.8231.0051.005.26%3.05%3.23%1.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 5.48%18.24fair odd
EV +26.10%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.310%

assuming max odds 23.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.22%5.52%5.50%7.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
13.0017.0417.0023.007.69%5.87%5.88%4.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bayern Munich (Local): 91.72%; Union Berlin (Visit): 2.80%; Draw: 5.48%. For Union Berlin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 35.75. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 51.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +42.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.07%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.26%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.88%EV +42.64%E +0.836%K +0.853%G +0.364%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +4.17%E +0.219%K +0.232%G +0.010%4.3%2026-09-18 15:29
1xBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 93.15%EV -3.69%E -3.52%K -73.87%G +0.000%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.96%EV +39.85%E +0.797%K +0.813%G +0.324%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%EV +9.65%E +0.482%K +0.508%G +0.049%2.2%2026-09-18 15:29
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.71%EV -3.69%E -3.52%K -73.87%G +0.000%45.00I 2.22%NM 2.16%EV +25.86%E +0.575%K +0.588%G +0.152%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.12%EV +4.17%E +0.219%K +0.232%G +0.010%2.7%2026-09-18 14:22
Marathon Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.29%EV -3.69%E -3.52%K -73.87%G +0.000%43.00I 2.33%NM 2.25%EV +20.27%E +0.471%K +0.483%G +0.098%17.75I 5.63%NM 5.46%EV -2.69%E -0.151%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-18 15:29
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.41%EV -4.61%E -4.43%K -115.26%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.37%EV +14.67%E +0.358%K +0.367%G +0.054%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.22%EV +26.10%E +1.13%K +1.19%G +0.310%2.9%2026-09-18 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.41%EV -4.61%E -4.43%K -115.26%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.37%EV +14.67%E +0.358%K +0.367%G +0.054%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.22%EV +26.10%E +1.13%K +1.19%G +0.310%2.9%2026-09-18 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.70%EV -4.61%E -4.43%K -115.26%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.35%EV +14.67%E +0.358%K +0.367%G +0.054%19.50I 5.13%NM 4.94%EV +6.91%E +0.354%K +0.373%G +0.026%3.7%2026-09-18 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.70%EV -4.61%E -4.43%K -115.26%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.35%EV +14.67%E +0.358%K +0.367%G +0.054%19.50I 5.13%NM 4.94%EV +6.91%E +0.354%K +0.373%G +0.026%3.7%2026-09-18 14:25
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.58%EV -4.61%E -4.43%K -115.26%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.35%EV +14.67%E +0.358%K +0.367%G +0.054%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.07%EV +4.17%E +0.219%K +0.232%G +0.010%3.9%2026-09-18 14:50
Fanatics🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.61%E -4.43%K -115.26%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +14.67%E +0.358%K +0.367%G +0.054%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.33%EV -1.32%E -0.073%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 14:53
PlayUp🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.04%EV -4.61%E -4.43%K -115.26%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.33%EV +14.67%E +0.358%K +0.367%G +0.054%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.63%EV -6.80%E -0.400%K -0.425%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 15:00
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.52%EV -3.69%E -3.52%K -73.87%G +0.000%37.56I 2.66%NM 2.56%EV +5.05%E +0.135%K +0.138%G +0.007%16.24I 6.16%NM 5.92%EV -10.96%E -0.675%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 15:20
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.66%EV -3.69%E -3.52%K -73.87%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.67%EV +0.689%E +0.019%K +0.020%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -6.80%E -0.400%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 14:50
Sky Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.79%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.26%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV +0.689%E +0.019%K +0.020%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +15.13%E +0.721%K +0.757%G +0.114%4.6%2026-09-18 11:50
888sport🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -3.69%E -3.52%K -73.87%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV +0.689%E +0.019%K +0.020%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -17.76%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 14:55
William Hill🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -3.69%E -3.52%K -73.87%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV +0.689%E +0.019%K +0.020%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -17.76%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -3.69%E -3.52%K -73.87%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV +0.689%E +0.019%K +0.020%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -17.76%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -3.69%E -3.52%K -73.87%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV +0.689%E +0.019%K +0.020%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -17.76%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.06%EV -4.61%E -4.43%K -115.26%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.63%EV +0.689%E +0.019%K +0.020%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.76%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.81%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.26%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.63%EV +0.689%E +0.019%K +0.020%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -6.80%E -0.400%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 15:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.51%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.26%G +0.000%35.00I 2.86%NM 2.72%EV -2.11%E -0.060%K -0.062%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.76%EV +9.65%E +0.482%K +0.508%G +0.049%4.9%2026-09-18 14:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.35%EV -4.61%E -4.43%K -115.26%G +0.000%35.00I 2.86%NM 2.71%EV -2.11%E -0.060%K -0.062%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -12.28%E -0.768%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:30
BetUS🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.81%EV -4.61%E -4.43%K -115.26%G +0.000%34.75I 2.88%NM 2.75%EV -2.81%E -0.081%K -0.083%G +0.000%17.55I 5.70%NM 5.44%EV -3.78%E -0.216%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:09
Betway🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.14%EV -4.61%E -4.43%K -115.26%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.82%EV -4.90%E -0.144%K -0.149%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.04%EV +4.17%E +0.219%K +0.232%G +0.010%4.4%2026-09-18 15:30
theScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.14%EV -4.61%E -4.43%K -115.26%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.82%EV -4.90%E -0.144%K -0.149%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.04%EV +4.17%E +0.219%K +0.232%G +0.010%4.4%2026-09-18 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.92%EV -4.61%E -4.43%K -115.26%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV -4.90%E -0.144%K -0.149%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.30%EV -17.76%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 13:25
betfred_uk🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.92%EV -4.61%E -4.43%K -115.26%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV -4.90%E -0.144%K -0.149%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.30%EV -17.76%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 14:00
Suprabets🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.92%EV -4.61%E -4.43%K -115.26%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV -4.90%E -0.144%K -0.149%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.30%EV -17.76%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 15:02
Everygame🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.92%EV -4.61%E -4.43%K -115.26%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV -4.90%E -0.144%K -0.149%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.30%EV -17.76%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 15:03
TAB🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.67%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.26%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV -4.90%E -0.144%K -0.149%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV -6.80%E -0.400%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:50
GTbets🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.55%EV -4.61%E -4.43%K -115.26%G +0.000%33.75I 2.96%NM 2.82%EV -5.60%E -0.166%K -0.171%G +0.000%16.92I 5.91%NM 5.63%EV -7.24%E -0.428%K -0.455%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 15:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.59%EV -6.44%E -6.32%K -322.25%G +0.000%32.00I 3.13%NM 2.92%EV -10.50%E -0.328%K -0.339%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -6.80%E -0.400%K -0.425%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.82%EV -3.69%E -3.52%K -73.87%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.11%EV -13.30%E -0.429%K -0.443%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.07%EV +4.17%E +0.219%K +0.232%G +0.010%3.7%2026-09-18 14:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.82%EV -3.69%E -3.52%K -73.87%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.11%EV -13.30%E -0.429%K -0.443%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.07%EV +4.17%E +0.219%K +0.232%G +0.010%3.7%2026-09-18 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.82%EV -3.69%E -3.52%K -73.87%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.11%EV -13.30%E -0.429%K -0.443%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.07%EV +4.17%E +0.219%K +0.232%G +0.010%3.7%2026-09-18 14:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.82%EV -3.69%E -3.52%K -73.87%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.11%EV -13.30%E -0.429%K -0.443%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.07%EV +4.17%E +0.219%K +0.232%G +0.010%3.7%2026-09-18 14:49
Bovada🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.59%EV -3.69%E -3.52%K -73.87%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.07%EV -13.30%E -0.429%K -0.443%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.34%EV -17.76%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 15:03
LiveScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.96%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.26%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -13.30%E -0.429%K -0.443%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +4.17%E +0.219%K +0.232%G +0.010%5.6%2026-09-18 14:50
Grosvenor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.96%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.26%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -13.30%E -0.429%K -0.443%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +4.17%E +0.219%K +0.232%G +0.010%5.6%2026-09-18 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.96%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.26%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -13.30%E -0.429%K -0.443%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +4.17%E +0.219%K +0.232%G +0.010%5.6%2026-09-18 14:49
betano_uk🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.42%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.26%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.04%EV -13.30%E -0.429%K -0.443%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -6.80%E -0.400%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:20
Bet Victor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.42%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.26%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.04%EV -13.30%E -0.429%K -0.443%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -6.80%E -0.400%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.50%EV -6.44%E -6.32%K -322.25%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.01%EV -13.30%E -0.429%K -0.443%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -6.80%E -0.400%K -0.425%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 14:49
Casumo🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.50%EV -6.44%E -6.32%K -322.25%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.01%EV -13.30%E -0.429%K -0.443%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -6.80%E -0.400%K -0.425%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 14:50
Bally Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.50%EV -6.44%E -6.32%K -322.25%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.01%EV -13.30%E -0.429%K -0.443%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -6.80%E -0.400%K -0.425%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 14:50
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.50%EV -6.44%E -6.32%K -322.25%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.01%EV -13.30%E -0.429%K -0.443%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -6.80%E -0.400%K -0.425%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.19%EV -6.44%E -6.32%K -322.25%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.00%EV -13.30%E -0.429%K -0.443%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -12.28%E -0.768%K -0.819%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.19%EV -6.44%E -6.32%K -322.25%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.00%EV -13.30%E -0.429%K -0.443%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -12.28%E -0.768%K -0.819%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:50
Unibet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.19%EV -6.44%E -6.32%K -322.25%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.00%EV -13.30%E -0.429%K -0.443%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -12.28%E -0.768%K -0.819%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:49
TABtouch🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.19%EV -6.44%E -6.32%K -322.25%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.00%EV -13.30%E -0.429%K -0.443%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -12.28%E -0.768%K -0.819%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.89%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.26%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 2.99%EV -13.30%E -0.429%K -0.443%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -28.73%E -2.21%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.00%EV -2.78%E -2.62%K -46.27%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV -18.89%E -0.651%K -0.675%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.67%EV -6.80%E -0.400%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-16 21:45
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.77%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.26%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.26%EV -18.89%E -0.651%K -0.675%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV +4.17%E +0.219%K +0.232%G +0.010%5.8%2026-09-18 14:40
Bet Right🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.16%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.26%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.20%EV -18.89%E -0.651%K -0.675%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.63%EV -23.25%E -1.66%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.54%EV -6.44%E -6.32%K -322.25%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.30%EV -21.69%E -0.775%K -0.803%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.16%EV -17.76%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 13:45
Caesars🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.26%EV -4.61%E -4.43%K -115.26%G +0.000%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.48%EV -24.48%E -0.907%K -0.942%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -17.76%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.17%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.26%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -27.28%E -1.05%K -1.09%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.22%EV -1.32%E -0.073%K -0.077%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 13:24
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.23%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.26%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.57%EV -27.28%E -1.05%K -1.09%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -17.76%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 13:45
DraftKings🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.83%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.26%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.56%EV -27.28%E -1.05%K -1.09%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -23.25%E -1.66%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:55
Fliff🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 90.68%EV -7.36%E -7.29%K -736.22%G +0.000%25.90I 3.86%NM 3.54%EV -27.56%E -1.06%K -1.11%G +0.000%15.85I 6.31%NM 5.78%EV -13.10%E -0.827%K -0.882%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 04:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.01%EV -4.61%E -4.43%K -115.26%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.74%EV -30.08%E -1.20%K -1.25%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -17.76%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 08:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.70%EV -6.44%E -6.32%K -322.25%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.85%EV -32.87%E -1.37%K -1.43%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV -6.80%E -0.400%K -0.425%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 13:25
Coral🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.13%EV -1.86%E -1.74%K -26.56%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.19%EV -35.67%E -1.55%K -1.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.67%EV -6.80%E -0.400%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 15:10
BetMGM🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.15%EV -3.69%E -3.52%K -73.87%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -35.67%E -1.55%K -1.62%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.74%EV -9.54%E -0.578%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -1.86%E -1.74%K -26.56%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV -41.26%E -1.96%K -2.06%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV -17.76%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 15:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.38%EV -2.78%E -2.62%K -46.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -46.86%E -2.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -23.25%E -1.66%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 15:10
Neds🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.38%EV -2.78%E -2.62%K -46.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -46.86%E -2.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -23.25%E -1.66%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.87%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.81%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.33%0.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.70%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.99%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.32%0.7%2026-09-18 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.70%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.99%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.32%0.7%2026-09-18 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.70%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.99%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.32%0.7%2026-09-18 14:15
Smarkets◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.51%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%21.98I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.9%2026-09-18 14:15
Kalshi◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.97%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.93%1.3%2026-09-18 15:30