Idioma:Español
Bayern Munich v Union Berlin
Resultado del partido
Bayern Munich (Local)
Predicción 86.57%1.16momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -1.92%
Kelly -16.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.17%86.34%86.66%88.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.041.091.101.1396.15%91.72%90.91%88.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Union Berlin (Visitante)
Predicción 4.82%20.75momio equitativo
EV +25.32%
Ventaja +0.974%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.256%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 26.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
3.69%4.99%4.87%7.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
13.0018.9219.0026.007.69%5.29%5.26%3.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 8.61%11.62momio equitativo
EV +20.49%
Ventaja +1.46%
Kelly +1.58%
Crecimiento +0.323%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 14.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.76%8.67%8.47%11.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
8.4010.6010.2514.0011.90%9.43%9.76%7.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Bayern Munich (Local): 86.57%; Union Berlin (Visitante): 4.82%; Empate: 8.61%. Para Union Berlin (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 20.75. 11 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 26.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +25.32%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (32 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.50%EV -7.37%E -6.88%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.73%EV -3.60%E -0.180%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.76%EV +20.49%E +1.46%K +1.58%G +0.323% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.92%EV -6.50%E -6.02%K -81.26%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.69%EV +25.32%E +0.974%K +1.01%G +0.256% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.39%EV +11.89%E +0.914%K +0.991%G +0.118% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 17:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.07%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.29%EV +10.86%E +0.472%K +0.494%G +0.054% | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.65%EV +11.03%E +0.855%K +0.927%G +0.102% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.64%EV -3.90%E -3.52%K -35.49%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.42%EV +6.04%E +0.274%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.94%EV +5.43%E +0.443%K +0.483%G +0.026% | 2.8% | 2026-09-06 19:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.95%EV -6.50%E -6.02%K -81.26%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV +10.86%E +0.472%K +0.494%G +0.054% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +3.28%E +0.273%K +0.298%G +0.010% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.71%EV -7.37%E -6.88%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +1.22%E +0.058%K +0.061%G +0.001% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +3.28%E +0.273%K +0.298%G +0.010% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.15%EV -8.23%E -7.77%K -137.20%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +10.86%E +0.472%K +0.494%G +0.054% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +3.28%E +0.273%K +0.298%G +0.010% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.13%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 16.10I 6.21%NM 5.88%EV -22.40%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 11.87I 8.42%NM 7.98%EV +2.16%E +0.182%K +0.199%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 19:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.45%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.28%EV -13.24%E -0.736%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV -1.02%E -0.089%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.33%E -0.484%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 19:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.33%E -0.484%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.33%E -0.484%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 18:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -37.34%E -2.87%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -5.33%E -0.484%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.63%EV -9.10%E -8.66%K -181.96%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.00%EV +10.86%E +0.472%K +0.494%G +0.054% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -5.33%E -0.484%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.03%EV -2.17%E -1.92%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.82%EV -20.47%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.15%EV -9.63%E -0.917%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 19:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.01%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.98%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -9.63%E -0.917%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 19:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.90%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.59%EV -18.06%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 19:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV -27.70%E -1.85%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.36%EV -7.37%E -6.88%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +1.22%E +0.058%K +0.061%G +0.001% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.36%EV -7.37%E -6.88%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +1.22%E +0.058%K +0.061%G +0.001% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.96%EV -7.37%E -6.88%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.82%EV -8.23%E -7.77%K -137.20%G +0.000% | 18.75I 5.33%NM 4.85%EV -9.63%E -0.513%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.33%EV -16.08%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 20:28 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.48%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -32.52%E -2.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -18.24%E -1.92%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.48%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -32.52%E -2.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -18.24%E -1.92%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 84.04%EV -9.96%E -9.58%K -249.09%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.24%EV -32.52%E -2.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.71%EV -22.54%E -2.50%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 84.57%EV -9.10%E -8.66%K -181.96%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV -18.06%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.21%EV -25.12%E -2.89%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 83.17%EV -9.96%E -9.58%K -249.09%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.65%EV -37.34%E -2.87%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.18%EV -26.84%E -3.16%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.44%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.30%EV +6.04%E +0.274%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.26%EV -27.70%E -3.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.44%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.30%EV +6.04%E +0.274%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.26%EV -27.70%E -3.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 20:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.24% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.90% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86% | 1.7% | 2026-09-06 20:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 82.32% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 6.11% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 11.57% | 16.8% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 32.38% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.99% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.63% | 185.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 32.38% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.99% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.63% | 185.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 32.38% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.99% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.63% | 185.9% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
Arbitraje (5 combinaciones) +0.52%BetMGM 1.13 (89.0%) / SportsBet 26.00 (3.9%) / Tipico (DE) 14.00 (7.2%)Ver las 5 combinaciones
| Bayern Munich (Local) | Union Berlin (Visitante) | Empate | Margen |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 1.13 (89.0%) | SportsBet🎯 26.00 (3.9%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 14.00 (7.2%) | +0.518% |
| BetMGM🎯 1.13 (88.5%) | 1xBet🎯 23.00 (4.3%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 14.00 (7.1%) | +0.014% |
| BetMGM🎯 1.13 (88.5%) | Codere (IT)🎯 23.00 (4.3%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 14.00 (7.1%) | +0.014% |
| BetMGM🎯 1.13 (88.5%) | Paddy Power🎯 23.00 (4.3%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 14.00 (7.1%) | +0.014% |
| BetMGM🎯 1.13 (88.5%) | FanDuel🎯 23.00 (4.3%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 14.00 (7.1%) | +0.014% |