Langue:Français
Bayern Munich v Union Berlin
Résultat du match
Bayern Munich (Local)
Prévision 86.57%1.16cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -1.92%
Kelly -16.71%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.17%86.34%86.66%88.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.041.091.101.1396.15%91.72%90.91%88.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Union Berlin (Visiteur)
Prévision 4.82%20.75cote équitable
EV +25.32%
Avantage +0.974%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.256%
avec la cote maximale 26.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
3.69%4.99%4.87%7.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
13.0018.9219.0026.007.69%5.29%5.26%3.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 8.61%11.62cote équitable
EV +20.49%
Avantage +1.46%
Kelly +1.58%
Croissance +0.323%
avec la cote maximale 14.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.76%8.67%8.47%11.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.4010.6010.2514.0011.90%9.43%9.76%7.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Bayern Munich (Local) : 86.57% ; Union Berlin (Visiteur) : 4.82% ; Match nul : 8.61%. Pour Union Berlin (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 20.75. 11 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 26.00, pour une espérance positive de +25.32%.
Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.50%EV -7.37%E -6.88%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.73%EV -3.60%E -0.180%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.76%EV +20.49%E +1.46%K +1.58%G +0.323% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.92%EV -6.50%E -6.02%K -81.26%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.69%EV +25.32%E +0.974%K +1.01%G +0.256% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.39%EV +11.89%E +0.914%K +0.991%G +0.118% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 17:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.07%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.29%EV +10.86%E +0.472%K +0.494%G +0.054% | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.65%EV +11.03%E +0.855%K +0.927%G +0.102% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.64%EV -3.90%E -3.52%K -35.49%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.42%EV +6.04%E +0.274%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.94%EV +5.43%E +0.443%K +0.483%G +0.026% | 2.8% | 2026-09-06 19:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.95%EV -6.50%E -6.02%K -81.26%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV +10.86%E +0.472%K +0.494%G +0.054% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +3.28%E +0.273%K +0.298%G +0.010% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.71%EV -7.37%E -6.88%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +1.22%E +0.058%K +0.061%G +0.001% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +3.28%E +0.273%K +0.298%G +0.010% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.15%EV -8.23%E -7.77%K -137.20%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +10.86%E +0.472%K +0.494%G +0.054% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +3.28%E +0.273%K +0.298%G +0.010% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.13%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 16.10I 6.21%NM 5.88%EV -22.40%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 11.87I 8.42%NM 7.98%EV +2.16%E +0.182%K +0.199%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 19:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.45%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.28%EV -13.24%E -0.736%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV -1.02%E -0.089%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.33%E -0.484%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 19:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.33%E -0.484%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.33%E -0.484%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 18:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -37.34%E -2.87%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -5.33%E -0.484%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.63%EV -9.10%E -8.66%K -181.96%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.00%EV +10.86%E +0.472%K +0.494%G +0.054% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -5.33%E -0.484%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.03%EV -2.17%E -1.92%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.82%EV -20.47%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.15%EV -9.63%E -0.917%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 19:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.01%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.98%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -9.63%E -0.917%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 19:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.90%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.59%EV -18.06%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 19:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV -27.70%E -1.85%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.36%EV -7.37%E -6.88%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +1.22%E +0.058%K +0.061%G +0.001% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.36%EV -7.37%E -6.88%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +1.22%E +0.058%K +0.061%G +0.001% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.96%EV -7.37%E -6.88%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.82%EV -8.23%E -7.77%K -137.20%G +0.000% | 18.75I 5.33%NM 4.85%EV -9.63%E -0.513%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.33%EV -16.08%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 20:28 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.48%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -32.52%E -2.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -18.24%E -1.92%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.48%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -32.52%E -2.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -18.24%E -1.92%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 84.04%EV -9.96%E -9.58%K -249.09%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.24%EV -32.52%E -2.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.71%EV -22.54%E -2.50%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 84.57%EV -9.10%E -8.66%K -181.96%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV -18.06%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.21%EV -25.12%E -2.89%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 83.17%EV -9.96%E -9.58%K -249.09%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.65%EV -37.34%E -2.87%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.18%EV -26.84%E -3.16%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.44%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.30%EV +6.04%E +0.274%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.26%EV -27.70%E -3.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.44%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.30%EV +6.04%E +0.274%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.26%EV -27.70%E -3.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 20:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.24% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.90% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86% | 1.7% | 2026-09-06 20:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 82.32% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 6.11% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 11.57% | 16.8% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 32.38% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.99% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.63% | 185.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 32.38% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.99% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.63% | 185.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 32.38% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.99% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.63% | 185.9% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
Arbitrage (5 combinaisons) +0.52%BetMGM 1.13 (89.0%) / SportsBet 26.00 (3.9%) / Tipico (DE) 14.00 (7.2%)Afficher les 5 combinaisons
| Bayern Munich (Local) | Union Berlin (Visiteur) | Match nul | Marge |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 1.13 (89.0%) | SportsBet🎯 26.00 (3.9%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 14.00 (7.2%) | +0.518% |
| BetMGM🎯 1.13 (88.5%) | 1xBet🎯 23.00 (4.3%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 14.00 (7.1%) | +0.014% |
| BetMGM🎯 1.13 (88.5%) | Codere (IT)🎯 23.00 (4.3%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 14.00 (7.1%) | +0.014% |
| BetMGM🎯 1.13 (88.5%) | Paddy Power🎯 23.00 (4.3%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 14.00 (7.1%) | +0.014% |
| BetMGM🎯 1.13 (88.5%) | FanDuel🎯 23.00 (4.3%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 14.00 (7.1%) | +0.014% |