Sprache:Deutsch
Bayern Munich v Union Berlin
Direkter Vergleich
Bayern Munich (Heim)
Prognose 86.57%1.16faire Quote
EV -2.17%
Vorteil -1.92%
Kelly -16.71%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.13
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
83.17%86.34%86.66%88.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.041.091.101.1396.15%91.72%90.91%88.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Union Berlin (Auswärts)
Prognose 4.82%20.75faire Quote
EV +25.32%
Vorteil +0.974%
Kelly +1.01%
Wachstum +0.256%
bei einer Höchstquote von 26.00
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
3.69%4.99%4.87%7.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
13.0018.9219.0026.007.69%5.29%5.26%3.85%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Unentschieden
Prognose 8.61%11.62faire Quote
EV +20.49%
Vorteil +1.46%
Kelly +1.58%
Wachstum +0.323%
bei einer Höchstquote von 14.00
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
6.76%8.67%8.47%11.26%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
8.4010.6010.2514.0011.90%9.43%9.76%7.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Bayern Munich (Heim): 86.57%; Union Berlin (Auswärts): 4.82%; Unentschieden: 8.61%. Für Union Berlin (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 20.75. 11 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 26.00 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +25.32%.
Wettanbieterquoten (32 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Unentschieden ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.50%EV -7.37%E -6.88%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.73%EV -3.60%E -0.180%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.76%EV +20.49%E +1.46%K +1.58%G +0.323% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.92%EV -6.50%E -6.02%K -81.26%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.69%EV +25.32%E +0.974%K +1.01%G +0.256% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.39%EV +11.89%E +0.914%K +0.991%G +0.118% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 17:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.07%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.29%EV +10.86%E +0.472%K +0.494%G +0.054% | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.65%EV +11.03%E +0.855%K +0.927%G +0.102% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.64%EV -3.90%E -3.52%K -35.49%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.42%EV +6.04%E +0.274%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.94%EV +5.43%E +0.443%K +0.483%G +0.026% | 2.8% | 2026-09-06 19:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.95%EV -6.50%E -6.02%K -81.26%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV +10.86%E +0.472%K +0.494%G +0.054% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +3.28%E +0.273%K +0.298%G +0.010% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.71%EV -7.37%E -6.88%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +1.22%E +0.058%K +0.061%G +0.001% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +3.28%E +0.273%K +0.298%G +0.010% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.15%EV -8.23%E -7.77%K -137.20%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +10.86%E +0.472%K +0.494%G +0.054% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +3.28%E +0.273%K +0.298%G +0.010% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.13%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 16.10I 6.21%NM 5.88%EV -22.40%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 11.87I 8.42%NM 7.98%EV +2.16%E +0.182%K +0.199%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 19:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.45%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.28%EV -13.24%E -0.736%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV -1.02%E -0.089%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.33%E -0.484%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 19:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.33%E -0.484%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.33%E -0.484%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 18:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -37.34%E -2.87%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -5.33%E -0.484%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.63%EV -9.10%E -8.66%K -181.96%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.00%EV +10.86%E +0.472%K +0.494%G +0.054% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -5.33%E -0.484%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.03%EV -2.17%E -1.92%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.82%EV -20.47%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.15%EV -9.63%E -0.917%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 19:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.01%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.98%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -9.63%E -0.917%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 19:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.90%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.59%EV -18.06%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 19:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV -27.70%E -1.85%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.36%EV -7.37%E -6.88%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +1.22%E +0.058%K +0.061%G +0.001% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.36%EV -7.37%E -6.88%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +1.22%E +0.058%K +0.061%G +0.001% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.96%EV -7.37%E -6.88%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.82%EV -8.23%E -7.77%K -137.20%G +0.000% | 18.75I 5.33%NM 4.85%EV -9.63%E -0.513%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.33%EV -16.08%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 20:28 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.48%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -32.52%E -2.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -18.24%E -1.92%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.48%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -32.52%E -2.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -18.24%E -1.92%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 84.04%EV -9.96%E -9.58%K -249.09%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.24%EV -32.52%E -2.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.71%EV -22.54%E -2.50%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 84.57%EV -9.10%E -8.66%K -181.96%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV -18.06%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.21%EV -25.12%E -2.89%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 83.17%EV -9.96%E -9.58%K -249.09%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.65%EV -37.34%E -2.87%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.18%EV -26.84%E -3.16%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.44%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.30%EV +6.04%E +0.274%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.26%EV -27.70%E -3.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.44%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.30%EV +6.04%E +0.274%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.26%EV -27.70%E -3.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 20:25 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (5)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Unentschieden | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.24% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.90% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86% | 1.7% | 2026-09-06 20:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 82.32% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 6.11% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 11.57% | 16.8% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 32.38% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.99% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.63% | 185.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 32.38% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.99% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.63% | 185.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 32.38% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.99% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.63% | 185.9% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
Arbitrage (5 Kombinationen) +0.52%BetMGM 1.13 (89.0%) / SportsBet 26.00 (3.9%) / Tipico (DE) 14.00 (7.2%)Alle 5 Kombinationen anzeigen
| Bayern Munich (Heim) | Union Berlin (Auswärts) | Unentschieden | Marge |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 1.13 (89.0%) | SportsBet🎯 26.00 (3.9%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 14.00 (7.2%) | +0.518% |
| BetMGM🎯 1.13 (88.5%) | 1xBet🎯 23.00 (4.3%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 14.00 (7.1%) | +0.014% |
| BetMGM🎯 1.13 (88.5%) | Codere (IT)🎯 23.00 (4.3%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 14.00 (7.1%) | +0.014% |
| BetMGM🎯 1.13 (88.5%) | Paddy Power🎯 23.00 (4.3%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 14.00 (7.1%) | +0.014% |
| BetMGM🎯 1.13 (88.5%) | FanDuel🎯 23.00 (4.3%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 14.00 (7.1%) | +0.014% |