StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Bayern Munich v Union Berlin

2026-09-18 18:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Wedstrijduitslag

32 wedaanbieders (13 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Bayern Munich (Thuis)

Prognose 86.57%1.16margevrije odds
EV -2.17%
Voordeel -1.92%
Kelly -16.71%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.13

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
83.17%86.34%86.66%88.92%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.041.091.101.1396.15%91.72%90.91%88.50%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Union Berlin (Uit)

Prognose 4.82%20.75margevrije odds
EV +25.32%
Voordeel +0.974%
Kelly +1.01%
Groei +0.256%

bij maximale odds 26.00

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
3.69%4.99%4.87%7.14%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
13.0018.9219.0026.007.69%5.29%5.26%3.85%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 8.61%11.62margevrije odds
EV +20.49%
Voordeel +1.46%
Kelly +1.58%
Groei +0.323%

bij maximale odds 14.00

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
6.76%8.67%8.47%11.26%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
8.4010.6010.2514.0011.90%9.43%9.76%7.14%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Voor Wedstrijduitslag schat Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) de volgende kansen: Bayern Munich (Thuis): 86.57%; Union Berlin (Uit): 4.82%; Gelijkspel: 8.61%. Voor Union Berlin (Uit) komt deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 20.75. 11 wedaanbieders bieden odds boven dat niveau; de beste beschikbare odds zijn 26.00, met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +25.32%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (32 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspel ▼MargeBijgewerkt
Tipico (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.50%EV -7.37%E -6.88%K -105.24%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.73%EV -3.60%E -0.180%K -0.190%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.76%EV +20.49%E +1.46%K +1.58%G +0.323%5.6%2026-09-06 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.92%EV -6.50%E -6.02%K -81.26%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.69%EV +25.32%E +0.974%K +1.01%G +0.256%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.39%EV +11.89%E +0.914%K +0.991%G +0.118%4.1%2026-09-06 17:54
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 88.07%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.29%EV +10.86%E +0.472%K +0.494%G +0.054%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.65%EV +11.03%E +0.855%K +0.927%G +0.102%1.4%2026-09-06 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.64%EV -3.90%E -3.52%K -35.49%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.42%EV +6.04%E +0.274%K +0.288%G +0.017%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.94%EV +5.43%E +0.443%K +0.483%G +0.026%2.8%2026-09-06 19:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.95%EV -6.50%E -6.02%K -81.26%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV +10.86%E +0.472%K +0.494%G +0.054%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +3.28%E +0.273%K +0.298%G +0.010%5.3%2026-09-06 17:55
Sky Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.71%EV -7.37%E -6.88%K -105.24%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +1.22%E +0.058%K +0.061%G +0.001%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +3.28%E +0.273%K +0.298%G +0.010%6.6%2026-09-06 17:55
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.15%EV -8.23%E -7.77%K -137.20%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +10.86%E +0.472%K +0.494%G +0.054%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +3.28%E +0.273%K +0.298%G +0.010%7.0%2026-09-06 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.13%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000%16.10I 6.21%NM 5.88%EV -22.40%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%11.87I 8.42%NM 7.98%EV +2.16%E +0.182%K +0.199%G +0.004%5.5%2026-09-06 19:00
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.45%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.28%EV -13.24%E -0.736%K -0.779%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV -1.02%E -0.089%K -0.097%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 17:55
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.33%E -0.484%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 19:10
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.33%E -0.484%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 19:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.33%E -0.484%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 18:54
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -37.34%E -2.87%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -5.33%E -0.484%K -0.533%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 19:45
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.63%EV -9.10%E -8.66%K -181.96%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.00%EV +10.86%E +0.472%K +0.494%G +0.054%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -5.33%E -0.484%K -0.533%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 17:55
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.03%EV -2.17%E -1.92%K -16.71%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.82%EV -20.47%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.15%EV -9.63%E -0.917%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 19:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.01%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.98%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -9.63%E -0.917%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 19:10
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.90%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.59%EV -18.06%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 19:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV -27.70%E -1.85%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 19:10
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.69%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.36%EV -7.37%E -6.88%K -105.24%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +1.22%E +0.058%K +0.061%G +0.001%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.36%EV -7.37%E -6.88%K -105.24%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +1.22%E +0.058%K +0.061%G +0.001%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 17:55
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.96%EV -7.37%E -6.88%K -105.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -8.42%E -0.443%K -0.468%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -13.93%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.82%EV -8.23%E -7.77%K -137.20%G +0.000%18.75I 5.33%NM 4.85%EV -9.63%E -0.513%K -0.542%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.33%EV -16.08%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 20:28
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.48%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -32.52%E -2.32%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -18.24%E -1.92%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 19:05
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.48%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -32.52%E -2.32%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -18.24%E -1.92%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 84.04%EV -9.96%E -9.58%K -249.09%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.24%EV -32.52%E -2.32%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.71%EV -22.54%E -2.50%K -2.82%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-06 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 84.57%EV -9.10%E -8.66%K -181.96%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV -18.06%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.21%EV -25.12%E -2.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 83.17%EV -9.96%E -9.58%K -249.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.65%EV -37.34%E -2.87%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.18%EV -26.84%E -3.16%K -3.58%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-06 17:55
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.44%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.30%EV +6.04%E +0.274%K +0.288%G +0.017%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.26%EV -27.70%E -3.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 20:25
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.44%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.30%EV +6.04%E +0.274%K +0.288%G +0.017%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.26%EV -27.70%E -3.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 20:25
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (5)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 86.24%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.90%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%1.7%2026-09-06 20:20
Smarkets1.04I 96.15%NM 82.32%14.01I 7.14%NM 6.11%7.40I 13.51%NM 11.57%16.8%2026-09-06 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 32.38%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.99%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.63%185.9%2026-09-06 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 32.38%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.99%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.63%185.9%2026-09-06 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 32.38%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.99%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.63%185.9%2026-09-06 19:55
Arbitrage (5 combinaties) +0.52%BetMGM 1.13 (89.0%) / SportsBet 26.00 (3.9%) / Tipico (DE) 14.00 (7.2%)Alle 5 combinaties tonen
Bayern Munich (Thuis)Union Berlin (Uit)GelijkspelMarge
BetMGM🎯 1.13 (89.0%)SportsBet🎯 26.00 (3.9%)Tipico (DE)🎯 14.00 (7.2%)+0.518%
BetMGM🎯 1.13 (88.5%)1xBet🎯 23.00 (4.3%)Tipico (DE)🎯 14.00 (7.1%)+0.014%
BetMGM🎯 1.13 (88.5%)Codere (IT)🎯 23.00 (4.3%)Tipico (DE)🎯 14.00 (7.1%)+0.014%
BetMGM🎯 1.13 (88.5%)Paddy Power🎯 23.00 (4.3%)Tipico (DE)🎯 14.00 (7.1%)+0.014%
BetMGM🎯 1.13 (88.5%)FanDuel🎯 23.00 (4.3%)Tipico (DE)🎯 14.00 (7.1%)+0.014%