Language:English
Ilves Tampere v IFK Mariehamn
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ilves Tampere (Local)
Prediction 73.44%1.36fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -12.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.46%73.41%73.39%75.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.261.261.3182.64%79.09%79.37%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IFK Mariehamn (Visit)
Prediction 10.43%9.58fair odd
EV +4.34%
Edge +0.434%
Kelly +0.482%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.58%10.43%10.43%12.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.648.5010.0013.33%11.58%11.76%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.13%6.20fair odd
EV +4.85%
Edge +0.745%
Kelly +0.881%
Growth +0.043%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.45%16.16%16.18%18.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.555.506.5020.00%18.03%18.18%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ilves Tampere (Local): 73.44%; IFK Mariehamn (Visit): 10.43%; Draw: 16.13%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.20. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.85%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.33%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +4.34%E +0.434%K +0.482%G +0.021% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.95%EV +4.85%E +0.745%K +0.881%G +0.043% | 2.9% | 2026-08-09 15:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +4.85%E +0.745%K +0.881%G +0.043% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 15:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.23%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 9.04I 11.06%NM 10.59%EV -5.68%E -0.628%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 6.31I 15.85%NM 15.18%EV +1.78%E +0.282%K +0.335%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.05%EV -4.53%E -3.49%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 7.72I 12.95%NM 12.13%EV -19.45%E -2.52%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 15.82%EV -4.51%E -0.762%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.73%EV -6.74%E -5.30%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -4.83%E -0.819%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 14:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.05%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV -4.01%E -0.435%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -4.83%E -0.819%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 14:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.09%EV -3.80%E -2.90%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.79%EV -16.42%E -2.05%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.86I 17.06%NM 16.12%EV -5.48%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 14:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.74%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -6.45%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.98%EV -6.74%E -5.30%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.93%EV -6.74%E -5.30%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -21.74%E -2.90%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 15:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -0.875%E -0.092%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 14:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -0.875%E -0.092%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 14:53 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -4.53%E -3.49%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV -12.35%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.49%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -4.53%E -3.49%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV -12.35%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.49%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.35I 11.98%NM 11.19%EV -12.87%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 15:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -6.00%E -4.69%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -6.00%E -4.69%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.14%EV -8.94%E -7.21%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.37%EV -8.70%E -0.994%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.96%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV +2.25%E +0.230%K +0.256%G +0.006% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.96%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV +2.25%E +0.230%K +0.256%G +0.006% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.85%EV -9.67%E -7.87%K -42.06%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 11.48%EV -19.66%E -2.55%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.67%EV -14.51%E -2.74%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -21.74%E -2.90%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -15.32%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-09 13:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -11.14%E -9.21%K -53.06%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -16.12%E -3.10%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.00%E -4.69%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.68% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37% | 1.6% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.68% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37% | 1.6% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.36% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.82% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.89% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.