النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Ilves Tampere v IFK Mariehamn

البداية: 2026-08-09 15:06 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Ilves Tampere 2–0 IFK Mariehamn

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Ilves Tampere (المضيف)

التنبؤ 73.44%1.36السعر العادل
EV -3.80%
الأفضلية -2.90%
Kelly -12.26%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
70.46%73.41%73.39%75.33%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.211.261.261.3182.64%79.09%79.37%76.34%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

IFK Mariehamn (الضيف)

التنبؤ 10.43%9.58السعر العادل
EV +4.34%
الأفضلية +0.434%
Kelly +0.482%
النمو +0.021%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 10.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
9.58%10.43%10.43%12.18%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
7.508.648.5010.0013.33%11.58%11.76%10.00%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

تعادل

التنبؤ 16.13%6.20السعر العادل
EV +4.85%
الأفضلية +0.745%
Kelly +0.881%
النمو +0.043%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.45%16.16%16.18%18.30%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.555.506.5020.00%18.03%18.18%15.38%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Ilves Tampere (المضيف)⁩: ⁨73.44%⁩؛ ⁨IFK Mariehamn (الضيف)⁩: ⁨10.43%⁩؛ ⁨تعادل⁩: ⁨16.13%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨تعادل⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨6.20⁩. عرضت 3 شركات مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨6.50⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+4.85%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.33%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +4.34%E +0.434%K +0.482%G +0.021%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.95%EV +4.85%E +0.745%K +0.881%G +0.043%2.9%2026-08-09 15:04
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +4.85%E +0.745%K +0.881%G +0.043%6.5%2026-08-09 15:03
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.23%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%9.04I 11.06%NM 10.59%EV -5.68%E -0.628%K -0.706%G +0.000%6.31I 15.85%NM 15.18%EV +1.78%E +0.282%K +0.335%G +0.006%4.4%2026-08-09 14:55
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.05%EV -4.53%E -3.49%K -15.11%G +0.000%7.72I 12.95%NM 12.13%EV -19.45%E -2.52%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 15.82%EV -4.51%E -0.762%K -0.917%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 14:59
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.73%EV -6.74%E -5.30%K -24.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -4.83%E -0.819%K -0.986%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 14:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.05%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV -4.01%E -0.435%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -4.83%E -0.819%K -0.986%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 14:59
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.09%EV -3.80%E -2.90%K -12.26%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.79%EV -16.42%E -2.05%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.12%EV -5.48%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 14:59
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.74%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -6.45%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 15:05
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 14:50
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.98%EV -6.74%E -5.30%K -24.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 14:30
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 14:30
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.93%EV -6.74%E -5.30%K -24.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -21.74%E -2.90%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 15:03
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -0.875%E -0.092%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 14:54
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -0.875%E -0.092%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 14:53
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -4.53%E -3.49%K -15.11%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV -12.35%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.49%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 15:00
BetAnything🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -4.53%E -3.49%K -15.11%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV -12.35%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.49%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 14:59
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.19%EV -12.87%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 15:01
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:50
Neds🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:50
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -6.00%E -4.69%K -21.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -6.00%E -4.69%K -21.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.14%EV -8.94%E -7.21%K -37.25%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.37%EV -8.70%E -0.994%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:55
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 14:30
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 14:30
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.96%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV +2.25%E +0.230%K +0.256%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 14:25
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.96%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV +2.25%E +0.230%K +0.256%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 14:25
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 13:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.85%EV -9.67%E -7.87%K -42.06%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 11.48%EV -19.66%E -2.55%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.67%EV -14.51%E -2.74%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-09 14:30
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -21.74%E -2.90%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -15.32%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 13:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -11.14%E -9.21%K -53.06%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -16.12%E -3.10%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-09 13:10
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 14:55
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.00%E -4.69%K -21.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 14:50
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 15:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.68%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37%1.6%2026-08-09 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.68%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37%1.6%2026-08-09 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.36%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31%2.1%2026-08-09 15:05
Matchbook◎1.29I 77.52%NM 75.82%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.89%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28%2.2%2026-08-09 15:05