Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Ilves Tampere v IFK Mariehamn

Początek: 2026-08-09 15:06 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Ilves Tampere 2–0 IFK Mariehamn

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (15 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Ilves Tampere (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 73.44%1.36kurs godziwy
EV -3.80%
Przewaga -2.90%
Kelly -12.26%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.31

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
70.46%73.41%73.39%75.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.211.261.261.3182.64%79.09%79.37%76.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

IFK Mariehamn (Goście)

Prognoza 10.43%9.58kurs godziwy
EV +4.34%
Przewaga +0.434%
Kelly +0.482%
Wzrost +0.021%

przy maksymalnym kursie 10.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
9.58%10.43%10.43%12.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
7.508.648.5010.0013.33%11.58%11.76%10.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 16.13%6.20kurs godziwy
EV +4.85%
Przewaga +0.745%
Kelly +0.881%
Wzrost +0.043%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
14.45%16.16%16.18%18.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.005.555.506.5020.00%18.03%18.18%15.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Ilves Tampere (Gospodarze): 73.44%; IFK Mariehamn (Goście): 10.43%; Remis: 16.13%. Dla wyniku Remis oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 6.20. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 6.50, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +4.85%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.33%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +4.34%E +0.434%K +0.482%G +0.021%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.95%EV +4.85%E +0.745%K +0.881%G +0.043%2.9%2026-08-09 15:04
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +4.85%E +0.745%K +0.881%G +0.043%6.5%2026-08-09 15:03
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.23%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%9.04I 11.06%NM 10.59%EV -5.68%E -0.628%K -0.706%G +0.000%6.31I 15.85%NM 15.18%EV +1.78%E +0.282%K +0.335%G +0.006%4.4%2026-08-09 14:55
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.05%EV -4.53%E -3.49%K -15.11%G +0.000%7.72I 12.95%NM 12.13%EV -19.45%E -2.52%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 15.82%EV -4.51%E -0.762%K -0.917%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 14:59
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.73%EV -6.74%E -5.30%K -24.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -4.83%E -0.819%K -0.986%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 14:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.05%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV -4.01%E -0.435%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -4.83%E -0.819%K -0.986%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 14:59
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.09%EV -3.80%E -2.90%K -12.26%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.79%EV -16.42%E -2.05%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.12%EV -5.48%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 14:59
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.74%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -6.45%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 15:05
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 14:50
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.98%EV -6.74%E -5.30%K -24.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 14:30
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 14:30
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.93%EV -6.74%E -5.30%K -24.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -21.74%E -2.90%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 15:03
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -0.875%E -0.092%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 14:54
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -0.875%E -0.092%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 14:53
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -4.53%E -3.49%K -15.11%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV -12.35%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.49%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 15:00
BetAnything🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -4.53%E -3.49%K -15.11%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV -12.35%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.49%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 14:59
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.19%EV -12.87%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 15:01
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:50
Neds🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:50
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -6.00%E -4.69%K -21.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -6.00%E -4.69%K -21.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.14%EV -8.94%E -7.21%K -37.25%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.37%EV -8.70%E -0.994%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:55
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 14:30
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 14:30
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.96%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV +2.25%E +0.230%K +0.256%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 14:25
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.96%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV +2.25%E +0.230%K +0.256%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 14:25
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 13:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.85%EV -9.67%E -7.87%K -42.06%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 11.48%EV -19.66%E -2.55%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.67%EV -14.51%E -2.74%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-09 14:30
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -21.74%E -2.90%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -15.32%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 13:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -11.14%E -9.21%K -53.06%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -16.12%E -3.10%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-09 13:10
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 14:55
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.00%E -4.69%K -21.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 14:50
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 15:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.68%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37%1.6%2026-08-09 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.68%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37%1.6%2026-08-09 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.36%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31%2.1%2026-08-09 15:05
Matchbook◎1.29I 77.52%NM 75.82%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.89%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28%2.2%2026-08-09 15:05