Langue:Français
Ilves Tampere v IFK Mariehamn
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ilves Tampere (Local)
Prévision 73.44%1.36cote équitable
EV -3.80%
Avantage -2.90%
Kelly -12.26%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.46%73.41%73.39%75.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.211.261.261.3182.64%79.09%79.37%76.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
IFK Mariehamn (Visiteur)
Prévision 10.43%9.58cote équitable
EV +4.34%
Avantage +0.434%
Kelly +0.482%
Croissance +0.021%
avec la cote maximale 10.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.58%10.43%10.43%12.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.508.648.5010.0013.33%11.58%11.76%10.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 16.13%6.20cote équitable
EV +4.85%
Avantage +0.745%
Kelly +0.881%
Croissance +0.043%
avec la cote maximale 6.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.45%16.16%16.18%18.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.555.506.5020.00%18.03%18.18%15.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ilves Tampere (Local) : 73.44% ; IFK Mariehamn (Visiteur) : 10.43% ; Match nul : 16.13%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.20. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.50, soit une espérance positive de +4.85%.
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.33%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +4.34%E +0.434%K +0.482%G +0.021% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.95%EV +4.85%E +0.745%K +0.881%G +0.043% | 2.9% | 2026-08-09 15:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +4.85%E +0.745%K +0.881%G +0.043% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 15:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.23%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 9.04I 11.06%NM 10.59%EV -5.68%E -0.628%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 6.31I 15.85%NM 15.18%EV +1.78%E +0.282%K +0.335%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.05%EV -4.53%E -3.49%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 7.72I 12.95%NM 12.13%EV -19.45%E -2.52%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 15.82%EV -4.51%E -0.762%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.73%EV -6.74%E -5.30%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -4.83%E -0.819%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 14:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.05%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV -4.01%E -0.435%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -4.83%E -0.819%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 14:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.09%EV -3.80%E -2.90%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.79%EV -16.42%E -2.05%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.86I 17.06%NM 16.12%EV -5.48%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 14:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.74%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -6.45%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.98%EV -6.74%E -5.30%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.93%EV -6.74%E -5.30%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -21.74%E -2.90%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 15:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -0.875%E -0.092%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 14:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -0.875%E -0.092%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 14:53 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -4.53%E -3.49%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV -12.35%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.49%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -4.53%E -3.49%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV -12.35%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.49%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.35I 11.98%NM 11.19%EV -12.87%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 15:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -6.00%E -4.69%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -6.00%E -4.69%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.14%EV -8.94%E -7.21%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.37%EV -8.70%E -0.994%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.96%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV +2.25%E +0.230%K +0.256%G +0.006% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.96%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV +2.25%E +0.230%K +0.256%G +0.006% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.85%EV -9.67%E -7.87%K -42.06%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 11.48%EV -19.66%E -2.55%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.67%EV -14.51%E -2.74%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -21.74%E -2.90%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -15.32%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-09 13:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -11.14%E -9.21%K -53.06%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -16.12%E -3.10%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.00%E -4.69%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.68% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37% | 1.6% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.68% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37% | 1.6% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.36% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.82% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.89% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |