StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Ilves Tampere v IFK Mariehamn

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-09 15:06 UTC

Endstand: Ilves Tampere 2–0 IFK Mariehamn

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Ilves Tampere (Heim)

Prognose 73.44%1.36faire Quote
EV -3.80%
Vorteil -2.90%
Kelly -12.26%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.31

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
70.46%73.41%73.39%75.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.211.261.261.3182.64%79.09%79.37%76.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

IFK Mariehamn (Auswärts)

Prognose 10.43%9.58faire Quote
EV +4.34%
Vorteil +0.434%
Kelly +0.482%
Wachstum +0.021%

bei einer Höchstquote von 10.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
9.58%10.43%10.43%12.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.508.648.5010.0013.33%11.58%11.76%10.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 16.13%6.20faire Quote
EV +4.85%
Vorteil +0.745%
Kelly +0.881%
Wachstum +0.043%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.45%16.16%16.18%18.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.005.555.506.5020.00%18.03%18.18%15.38%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Ilves Tampere (Heim): 73.44%; IFK Mariehamn (Auswärts): 10.43%; Unentschieden: 16.13%. Für Unentschieden entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.20. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.85%.

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.33%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +4.34%E +0.434%K +0.482%G +0.021%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.95%EV +4.85%E +0.745%K +0.881%G +0.043%2.9%2026-08-09 15:04
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +4.85%E +0.745%K +0.881%G +0.043%6.5%2026-08-09 15:03
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.23%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%9.04I 11.06%NM 10.59%EV -5.68%E -0.628%K -0.706%G +0.000%6.31I 15.85%NM 15.18%EV +1.78%E +0.282%K +0.335%G +0.006%4.4%2026-08-09 14:55
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.05%EV -4.53%E -3.49%K -15.11%G +0.000%7.72I 12.95%NM 12.13%EV -19.45%E -2.52%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 15.82%EV -4.51%E -0.762%K -0.917%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 14:59
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.73%EV -6.74%E -5.30%K -24.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -4.83%E -0.819%K -0.986%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 14:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.05%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV -4.01%E -0.435%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -4.83%E -0.819%K -0.986%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 14:59
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.09%EV -3.80%E -2.90%K -12.26%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.79%EV -16.42%E -2.05%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.12%EV -5.48%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 14:59
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.74%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -6.45%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 15:05
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 14:50
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.98%EV -6.74%E -5.30%K -24.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 14:30
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 14:30
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.93%EV -6.74%E -5.30%K -24.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -21.74%E -2.90%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 15:03
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -0.875%E -0.092%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 14:54
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -0.875%E -0.092%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 14:53
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -4.53%E -3.49%K -15.11%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV -12.35%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.49%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 15:00
BetAnything🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -4.53%E -3.49%K -15.11%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV -12.35%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.49%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 14:59
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.19%EV -12.87%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 15:01
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:50
Neds🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:50
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -6.00%E -4.69%K -21.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -6.00%E -4.69%K -21.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.14%EV -8.94%E -7.21%K -37.25%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.37%EV -8.70%E -0.994%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:55
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 14:30
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 14:30
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.96%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV +2.25%E +0.230%K +0.256%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 14:25
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.96%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV +2.25%E +0.230%K +0.256%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 14:25
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 13:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.85%EV -9.67%E -7.87%K -42.06%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 11.48%EV -19.66%E -2.55%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.67%EV -14.51%E -2.74%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-09 14:30
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -21.74%E -2.90%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -15.32%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 13:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -11.14%E -9.21%K -53.06%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -16.12%E -3.10%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-09 13:10
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 14:55
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.00%E -4.69%K -21.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 14:50
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 15:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.68%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37%1.6%2026-08-09 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.68%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37%1.6%2026-08-09 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.36%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31%2.1%2026-08-09 15:05
Matchbook◎1.29I 77.52%NM 75.82%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.89%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28%2.2%2026-08-09 15:05