语言:简体中文
Ilves Tampere v IFK Mariehamn
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Ilves Tampere (主队)
预测 73.44%1.36公平赔率
EV -3.80%
优势 -2.90%
Kelly -12.26%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.31
博彩公司预测分布
70.46%73.41%73.39%75.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.211.261.261.3182.64%79.09%79.37%76.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
IFK Mariehamn (客队)
预测 10.43%9.58公平赔率
EV +4.34%
优势 +0.434%
Kelly +0.482%
增长率 +0.021%
假设最高赔率为 10.00
博彩公司预测分布
9.58%10.43%10.43%12.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.508.648.5010.0013.33%11.58%11.76%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 16.13%6.20公平赔率
EV +4.85%
优势 +0.745%
Kelly +0.881%
增长率 +0.043%
假设最高赔率为 6.50
博彩公司预测分布
14.45%16.16%16.18%18.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.555.506.5020.00%18.03%18.18%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ilves Tampere (主队)：73.44%；IFK Mariehamn (客队)：10.43%；平局：16.13%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.20。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.50，对应+4.85%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.33%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +4.34%E +0.434%K +0.482%G +0.021% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.95%EV +4.85%E +0.745%K +0.881%G +0.043% | 2.9% | 2026-08-09 15:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +4.85%E +0.745%K +0.881%G +0.043% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 15:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.23%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 9.04I 11.06%NM 10.59%EV -5.68%E -0.628%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 6.31I 15.85%NM 15.18%EV +1.78%E +0.282%K +0.335%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.05%EV -4.53%E -3.49%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 7.72I 12.95%NM 12.13%EV -19.45%E -2.52%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 15.82%EV -4.51%E -0.762%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.73%EV -6.74%E -5.30%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -4.83%E -0.819%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 14:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.05%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV -4.01%E -0.435%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -4.83%E -0.819%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 14:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.09%EV -3.80%E -2.90%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.79%EV -16.42%E -2.05%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.86I 17.06%NM 16.12%EV -5.48%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 14:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.74%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -6.45%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.98%EV -6.74%E -5.30%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.93%EV -6.74%E -5.30%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -21.74%E -2.90%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 15:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -0.875%E -0.092%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 14:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -0.875%E -0.092%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 14:53 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -4.53%E -3.49%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV -12.35%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.49%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -4.53%E -3.49%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV -12.35%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.49%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.35I 11.98%NM 11.19%EV -12.87%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 15:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -6.00%E -4.69%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -6.00%E -4.69%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.14%EV -8.94%E -7.21%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.37%EV -8.70%E -0.994%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.41%E -8.53%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.96%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV +2.25%E +0.230%K +0.256%G +0.006% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.96%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV +2.25%E +0.230%K +0.256%G +0.006% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -6.09%E -0.677%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.85%EV -9.67%E -7.87%K -42.06%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 11.48%EV -19.66%E -2.55%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.67%EV -14.51%E -2.74%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -8.21%E -6.56%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -21.74%E -2.90%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -15.32%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-09 13:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -11.14%E -9.21%K -53.06%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -16.12%E -3.10%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.00%E -4.69%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -11.31%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.27%E -4.08%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -16.53%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.68% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37% | 1.6% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.68% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37% | 1.6% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.36% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.82% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.89% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |