Language:English
IFK Mariehamn v TPS Turku
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IFK Mariehamn (Local)
Prediction 38.08%2.63fair odd
EV +0.917%
Edge +0.346%
Kelly +0.556%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.01%37.95%38.06%39.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.462.422.6545.45%40.65%41.32%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
TPS Turku (Visit)
Prediction 36.12%2.77fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.08%36.14%36.13%37.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.522.502.6543.48%39.76%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.80%3.88fair odd
EV +1.65%
Edge +0.418%
Kelly +0.560%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 3.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.16%25.91%25.81%27.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.503.503.9432.26%28.59%28.57%25.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Mariehamn (Local): 38.08%; TPS Turku (Visit): 36.12%; Draw: 25.80%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.94, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.16%EV +1.65%E +0.418%K +0.560%G +0.009% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.64%EV -4.03%E -1.60%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.16%EV -2.74%E -0.727%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 15:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.70%E -2.73%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 10:53 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -8.22%E -3.41%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -5.58%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 12:31 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -8.22%E -3.41%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -5.58%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -7.08%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.18%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 16:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -7.08%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.18%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 16:01 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -7.08%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.18%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%EV -0.987%E -0.380%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.28%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.70%E -2.73%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 14:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.70%E -2.73%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 02:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 17:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 14:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 14:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 20:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 20:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 19:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 02:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 02:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -9.75%E -4.11%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -9.75%E -4.11%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 02:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -16.22%E -7.37%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-09 06:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -16.22%E -7.37%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.01%EV -13.31%E -5.55%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-09-09 10:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.84%E -3.24%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -5.37%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.99%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 07:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.84%E -3.24%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -5.37%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.99%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 07:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -17.44%E -5.45%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -17.44%E -5.45%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 35.21%EV -7.46%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -16.93%E -7.36%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -20.02%E -6.46%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 47.46% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 21.51% | 24.0% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |