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IFK Mariehamn v TPS Turku
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
IFK Mariehamn (Хозяева)
Прогноз 38.08%2.63справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.917%
Преимущество +0.346%
Kelly +0.556%
Рост +0.005%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.65
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
35.01%37.95%38.06%39.86%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.202.462.422.6545.45%40.65%41.32%37.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
TPS Turku (Гости)
Прогноз 36.12%2.77справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.28%
Преимущество -1.62%
Kelly -2.60%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.65
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
35.08%36.14%36.13%37.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.302.522.502.6543.48%39.76%40.00%37.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 25.80%3.88справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.65%
Преимущество +0.418%
Kelly +0.560%
Рост +0.009%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.94
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.16%25.91%25.81%27.60%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.503.503.9432.26%28.59%28.57%25.38%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: IFK Mariehamn (Хозяева): 38.08%; TPS Turku (Гости): 36.12%; Ничья: 25.80%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.88. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.94, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.65%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.16%EV +1.65%E +0.418%K +0.560%G +0.009% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.64%EV -4.03%E -1.60%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.16%EV -2.74%E -0.727%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 15:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.70%E -2.73%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 10:53 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -8.22%E -3.41%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -5.58%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 12:31 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -8.22%E -3.41%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -5.58%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -7.08%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.18%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 16:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -7.08%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.18%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 16:01 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -7.08%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.18%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%EV -0.987%E -0.380%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.28%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.70%E -2.73%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 14:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.70%E -2.73%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 02:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 17:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 14:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 14:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 20:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 20:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 19:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 02:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 02:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -9.75%E -4.11%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -9.75%E -4.11%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 02:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -16.22%E -7.37%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-09 06:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -16.22%E -7.37%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.01%EV -13.31%E -5.55%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-09-09 10:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.84%E -3.24%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -5.37%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.99%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 07:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.84%E -3.24%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -5.37%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.99%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 07:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -17.44%E -5.45%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -17.44%E -5.45%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 35.21%EV -7.46%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -16.93%E -7.36%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -20.02%E -6.46%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (3)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 47.46% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 21.51% | 24.0% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |