Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

IFK Mariehamn v TPS Turku

Początek: 2026-09-12 14:01 UTC

Wynik końcowy: IFK Mariehamn 1–0 TPS Turku

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

48 bukmacherów (12 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

IFK Mariehamn (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 38.08%2.63kurs godziwy
EV +0.917%
Przewaga +0.346%
Kelly +0.556%
Wzrost +0.005%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.01%37.95%38.06%39.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.202.462.422.6545.45%40.65%41.32%37.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

TPS Turku (Goście)

Prognoza 36.12%2.77kurs godziwy
EV -4.28%
Przewaga -1.62%
Kelly -2.60%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.08%36.14%36.13%37.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.522.502.6543.48%39.76%40.00%37.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 25.80%3.88kurs godziwy
EV +1.65%
Przewaga +0.418%
Kelly +0.560%
Wzrost +0.009%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.94

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.16%25.91%25.81%27.60%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.503.503.9432.26%28.59%28.57%25.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: IFK Mariehamn (Gospodarze): 38.08%; TPS Turku (Goście): 36.12%; Remis: 25.80%. Dla wyniku Remis oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.88. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.94, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.65%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (48 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.16%EV +1.65%E +0.418%K +0.560%G +0.009%5.1%2026-09-09 10:49
GTbets🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.64%EV -4.03%E -1.60%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.16%EV -2.74%E -0.727%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 15:35
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.70%E -2.73%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 10:53
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -8.22%E -3.41%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -5.58%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 12:31
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -8.22%E -3.41%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -5.58%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 12:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -7.08%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.18%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:01
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -7.08%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.18%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:01
BetUS🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -7.08%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.18%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:00
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%EV -0.987%E -0.380%K -0.617%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.28%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 17:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.70%E -2.73%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 14:01
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.70%E -2.73%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 02:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:40
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 17:40
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 14:30
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 16:40
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 14:04
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 14:04
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 20:00
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 20:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 19:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 02:45
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -9.75%E -4.11%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 02:44
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -9.75%E -4.11%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 02:48
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -16.22%E -7.37%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-09 06:44
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -16.22%E -7.37%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.01%EV -13.31%E -5.55%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-09 10:54
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.84%E -3.24%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -5.37%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.99%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 07:29
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.84%E -3.24%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -5.37%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.99%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 07:30
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:04
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:05
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:05
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:05
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:05
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 17:05
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -17.44%E -5.45%K -7.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-08 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -17.44%E -5.45%K -7.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-08 17:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 35.21%EV -7.46%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -16.93%E -7.36%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -20.02%E -6.46%K -9.54%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-08 17:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (3)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%10.6%2026-09-09 16:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%10.6%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 47.46%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.03%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.51%24.0%2026-09-09 16:51