默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

IFK Mariehamn v TPS Turku

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 14:01 UTC

最终结果: IFK Mariehamn 1–0 TPS Turku

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

IFK Mariehamn (主队)

预测 38.08%2.63公平赔率
EV +0.917%
优势 +0.346%
Kelly +0.556%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
35.01%37.95%38.06%39.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.462.422.6545.45%40.65%41.32%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

TPS Turku (客队)

预测 36.12%2.77公平赔率
EV -4.28%
优势 -1.62%
Kelly -2.60%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
35.08%36.14%36.13%37.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.522.502.6543.48%39.76%40.00%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.80%3.88公平赔率
EV +1.65%
优势 +0.418%
Kelly +0.560%
增长率 +0.009%

假设最高赔率为 3.94

博彩公司预测分布
24.16%25.91%25.81%27.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.503.503.9432.26%28.59%28.57%25.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:IFK Mariehamn (主队):38.08%;TPS Turku (客队):36.12%;平局:25.80%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.88。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.94,对应+1.65%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.16%EV +1.65%E +0.418%K +0.560%G +0.009%5.1%2026-09-09 10:49
GTbets🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.64%EV -4.03%E -1.60%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.16%EV -2.74%E -0.727%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 15:35
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.70%E -2.73%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 10:53
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -8.22%E -3.41%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -5.58%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 12:31
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -8.22%E -3.41%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -5.58%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 12:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -7.08%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.18%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:01
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -7.08%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.18%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:01
BetUS🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -7.08%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.18%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:00
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%EV -0.987%E -0.380%K -0.617%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.28%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 17:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.70%E -2.73%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 14:01
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.70%E -2.73%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 02:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:40
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 17:40
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 14:30
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 16:40
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 14:04
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 14:04
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 20:00
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 20:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 19:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 02:45
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -9.75%E -4.11%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 02:44
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -9.75%E -4.11%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 02:48
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -16.22%E -7.37%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-09 06:44
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -16.22%E -7.37%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.01%EV -13.31%E -5.55%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-09 10:54
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.84%E -3.24%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -5.37%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.99%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 07:29
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.84%E -3.24%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -5.37%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.99%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 07:30
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:04
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:05
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:05
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:05
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:05
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 17:05
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -17.44%E -5.45%K -7.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-08 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -17.44%E -5.45%K -7.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-08 17:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 35.21%EV -7.46%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -16.93%E -7.36%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -20.02%E -6.46%K -9.54%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-08 17:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%10.6%2026-09-09 16:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%10.6%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 47.46%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.03%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.51%24.0%2026-09-09 16:51