StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IFK Mariehamn v TPS Turku

Matchstart: 2026-09-12 14:01 UTC

Slutresultat: IFK Mariehamn 1–0 TPS Turku

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IFK Mariehamn (Hemma)

Prognos 38.08%2.63rättvist odds
EV +0.917%
Fördel +0.346%
Kelly +0.556%
Tillväxt +0.005%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.01%37.95%38.06%39.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.462.422.6545.45%40.65%41.32%37.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

TPS Turku (Borta)

Prognos 36.12%2.77rättvist odds
EV -4.28%
Fördel -1.62%
Kelly -2.60%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.08%36.14%36.13%37.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.522.502.6543.48%39.76%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.80%3.88rättvist odds
EV +1.65%
Fördel +0.418%
Kelly +0.560%
Tillväxt +0.009%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.94

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.16%25.91%25.81%27.60%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.503.503.9432.26%28.59%28.57%25.38%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: IFK Mariehamn (Hemma): 38.08%; TPS Turku (Borta): 36.12%; Oavgjort: 25.80%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.88. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.94, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.65%.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.16%EV +1.65%E +0.418%K +0.560%G +0.009%5.1%2026-09-09 10:49
GTbets🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.64%EV -4.03%E -1.60%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.16%EV -2.74%E -0.727%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 15:35
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.70%E -2.73%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 10:53
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -8.22%E -3.41%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -5.58%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 12:31
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -8.22%E -3.41%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -5.58%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 12:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -7.08%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.18%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:01
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -7.08%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.18%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:01
BetUS🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -7.08%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.18%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:00
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%EV -0.987%E -0.380%K -0.617%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.28%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 17:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.70%E -2.73%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 14:01
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.70%E -2.73%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 02:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:40
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 17:40
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 14:30
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 16:40
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 14:04
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 14:04
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 20:00
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 20:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 19:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 02:45
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -9.75%E -4.11%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 02:44
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -9.75%E -4.11%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 02:48
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -16.22%E -7.37%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-09 06:44
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -16.22%E -7.37%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.01%EV -13.31%E -5.55%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-09 10:54
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.84%E -3.24%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -5.37%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.99%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 07:29
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.84%E -3.24%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -5.37%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.99%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 07:30
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:04
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:05
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:05
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:05
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:05
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 17:05
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -17.44%E -5.45%K -7.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-08 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -17.44%E -5.45%K -7.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-08 17:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 35.21%EV -7.46%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -16.93%E -7.36%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -20.02%E -6.46%K -9.54%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-08 17:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%10.6%2026-09-09 16:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%10.6%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 47.46%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.03%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.51%24.0%2026-09-09 16:51