Idioma:Español
IFK Mariehamn v TPS Turku
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IFK Mariehamn (Local)
Predicción 38.08%2.63momio equitativo
EV +0.917%
Ventaja +0.346%
Kelly +0.556%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.01%37.95%38.06%39.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.462.422.6545.45%40.65%41.32%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
TPS Turku (Visitante)
Predicción 36.12%2.77momio equitativo
EV -4.28%
Ventaja -1.62%
Kelly -2.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.08%36.14%36.13%37.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.522.502.6543.48%39.76%40.00%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.80%3.88momio equitativo
EV +1.65%
Ventaja +0.418%
Kelly +0.560%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.16%25.91%25.81%27.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.503.503.9432.26%28.59%28.57%25.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: IFK Mariehamn (Local): 38.08%; TPS Turku (Visitante): 36.12%; Empate: 25.80%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.88. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.94, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.65%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.16%EV +1.65%E +0.418%K +0.560%G +0.009% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.64%EV -4.03%E -1.60%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.16%EV -2.74%E -0.727%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 15:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.70%E -2.73%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 10:53 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -8.22%E -3.41%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -5.58%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 12:31 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -8.22%E -3.41%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -5.58%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -7.08%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.18%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 16:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -7.08%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.18%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 16:01 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -7.08%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.18%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%EV -0.987%E -0.380%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.28%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.70%E -2.73%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 14:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.70%E -2.73%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 02:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 17:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 14:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 14:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 20:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 20:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 19:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 02:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 02:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -9.75%E -4.11%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -9.75%E -4.11%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 02:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -16.22%E -7.37%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-09 06:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -16.22%E -7.37%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.01%EV -13.31%E -5.55%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-09-09 10:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.84%E -3.24%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -5.37%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.99%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 07:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.84%E -3.24%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -5.37%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.99%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 07:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV +0.917%E +0.346%K +0.556%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.36%E -3.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -17.44%E -5.45%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -14.04%E -5.90%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -17.44%E -5.45%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 35.21%EV -7.46%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -16.93%E -7.36%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -20.02%E -6.46%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 47.46% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 21.51% | 24.0% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |