赔率学院

Southampton v Arsenal

开赛时间: 2026-04-04 19:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Southampton (主队)

预测 13.04%7.67公平赔率
EV +10.88%
优势 +1.28%
Kelly +1.45%
增长率 +0.158%

假设最高赔率为 8.50

博彩公司预测分布
11.50%13.02%13.02%14.66%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
6.257.357.308.5016.00%13.61%13.70%11.76%MIN均值中位数MAX

Arsenal (客队)

预测 68.10%1.47公平赔率
EV -1.26%
优势 -0.867%
Kelly -2.79%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.45

博彩公司预测分布
65.06%68.16%68.05%70.09%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.321.371.361.4575.76%72.80%73.53%68.97%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 18.86%5.30公平赔率
EV -0.060%
优势 -0.011%
Kelly -0.014%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.30

博彩公司预测分布
17.68%18.82%18.93%21.63%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.004.955.005.3025.00%20.22%20.00%18.87%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.50%EV +10.88%E +1.28%K +1.45%G +0.158%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.33%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.17%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-04 18:25
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.50%EV +10.88%E +1.28%K +1.45%G +0.158%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.33%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.17%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-04 18:24
Coolbet8.30I 12.05%NM 11.80%EV +8.27%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.094%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.99%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-04 18:49
LowVig.ag8.30I 12.05%NM 11.65%EV +8.27%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.094%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.09%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV -0.060%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 18:00
BetOnline.ag8.30I 12.05%NM 11.65%EV +8.27%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.094%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.09%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV -0.060%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 18:00
Unibet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.19%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 18:24
Unibet (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:24
Unibet (NL)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:25
Casumo8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:25
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:25
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -7.60%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 18:24
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.60%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:24
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 18:24
Marathon Bet7.70I 12.99%NM 12.55%EV +0.443%E +0.057%K +0.066%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.51%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 18:19
Pinnacle7.59I 13.18%NM 12.70%EV -0.992%E -0.131%K -0.151%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.86%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.43%EV -1.38%E -0.264%K -0.326%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 18:45
DraftKings7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.96%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV -1.00%E -0.191%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 18:20
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:09
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 18:09
FanDuel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 18:39
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 18:00
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.92%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 18:24
Betsson7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV -3.47%E -0.469%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -6.66%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 18:49
NordicBet7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV -3.47%E -0.469%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -6.66%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 18:49
BetUS7.30I 13.70%NM 12.88%EV -4.78%E -0.654%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV -6.66%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 18:54
Everygame7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV -5.43%E -0.749%K -0.868%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.88%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:49
Fliff7.05I 14.18%NM 12.96%EV -8.04%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.20%EV -8.75%E -6.53%K -25.73%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.84%EV -8.55%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:50
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 17:49
Neds7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 17:49
BetMGM7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 17:49
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 17:49
theScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -1.00%E -0.191%K -0.236%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 18:30
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.43%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:00
Unibet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:35
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.43%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 18:49
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 18:39
Codere (IT)6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -11.30%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:29
1xBet6.79I 14.73%NM 14.29%EV -11.43%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.91%EV -1.26%E -0.867%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.80%EV -2.70%E -0.523%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 18:55
LiveScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -11.95%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -11.37%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:24
Virgin Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -11.95%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -11.37%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:24
Winamax (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.90%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.68%EV -0.060%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 18:30
888sport6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 18:24
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 18:25
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 18:24
888sport (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 18:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -24.57%E -6.14%K -8.19%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-04 17:44
Winamax (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -18.47%E -2.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.37%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 18:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-04-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-04-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-04-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-04-04 18:54
Matchbook8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.02%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.41%0.6%2026-04-04 18:55
Kalshi8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.58%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64%1.9%2026-04-04 18:55