A Escola das OddsSouthampton v Arsenal
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Southampton (Local)
Previsão 13.04%7.67odd justa
EV +10.88%
Vantagem +1.28%
Kelly +1.45%
Crescimento +0.158%
pressupondo odds máximas de 8.50
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.50%13.02%13.02%14.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.257.357.308.5016.00%13.61%13.70%11.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Arsenal (Visitante)
Previsão 68.10%1.47odd justa
EV -1.26%
Vantagem -0.867%
Kelly -2.79%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.45
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.06%68.16%68.05%70.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.321.371.361.4575.76%72.80%73.53%68.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 18.86%5.30odd justa
EV -0.060%
Vantagem -0.011%
Kelly -0.014%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 5.30
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.68%18.82%18.93%21.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.955.005.3025.00%20.22%20.00%18.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.50%EV +10.88%E +1.28%K +1.45%G +0.158% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.33%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.17%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.50%EV +10.88%E +1.28%K +1.45%G +0.158% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.33%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.17%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Coolbet | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.80%EV +8.27%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.094% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.99%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.65%EV +8.27%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.094% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.09%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV -0.060%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.65%EV +8.27%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.094% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.09%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV -0.060%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Unibet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.19%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Casumo | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| betPARX | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Grosvenor | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -7.60%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| TABtouch | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.60%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| LeoVegas | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.55%EV +0.443%E +0.057%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.51%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 18:19 |
| Pinnacle | 7.59I 13.18%NM 12.70%EV -0.992%E -0.131%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.86%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.43%EV -1.38%E -0.264%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 18:45 |
| DraftKings | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.96%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV -1.00%E -0.191%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 18:20 |
| SportsBet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| Bet Victor | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| FanDuel | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Paddy Power | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.92%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Betsson | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV -3.47%E -0.469%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -6.66%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| NordicBet | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV -3.47%E -0.469%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -6.66%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| BetUS | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.88%EV -4.78%E -0.654%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV -6.66%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Everygame | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV -5.43%E -0.749%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.88%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| Fliff | 7.05I 14.18%NM 12.96%EV -8.04%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.20%EV -8.75%E -6.53%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.84%EV -8.55%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| Neds | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| BetMGM | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| Coral | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| theScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -1.00%E -0.191%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 18:30 |
| Betway | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.43%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 18:35 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.43%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| Sky Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -11.30%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| 1xBet | 6.79I 14.73%NM 14.29%EV -11.43%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.91%EV -1.26%E -0.867%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.80%EV -2.70%E -0.523%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -11.95%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -11.37%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -11.95%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -11.37%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.90%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.68%EV -0.060%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 18:30 |
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -24.57%E -6.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-04 17:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -18.47%E -2.96%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.37%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Matchbook | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.02% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.41% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Kalshi | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.58% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |