Die Schule der Quoten

Southampton v Arsenal

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-04 19:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

49 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Southampton (Heim)

Prognose 13.04%7.67faire Quote
EV +10.88%
Vorteil +1.28%
Kelly +1.45%
Wachstum +0.158%

bei einer Höchstquote von 8.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
11.50%13.02%13.02%14.66%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
6.257.357.308.5016.00%13.61%13.70%11.76%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Arsenal (Auswärts)

Prognose 68.10%1.47faire Quote
EV -1.26%
Vorteil -0.867%
Kelly -2.79%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.06%68.16%68.05%70.09%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.321.371.361.4575.76%72.80%73.53%68.97%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 18.86%5.30faire Quote
EV -0.060%
Vorteil -0.011%
Kelly -0.014%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.68%18.82%18.93%21.63%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.004.955.005.3025.00%20.22%20.00%18.87%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (49 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.50%EV +10.88%E +1.28%K +1.45%G +0.158%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.33%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.17%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-04 18:25
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.50%EV +10.88%E +1.28%K +1.45%G +0.158%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.33%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.17%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-04 18:24
Coolbet8.30I 12.05%NM 11.80%EV +8.27%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.094%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.99%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-04 18:49
LowVig.ag8.30I 12.05%NM 11.65%EV +8.27%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.094%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.09%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV -0.060%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 18:00
BetOnline.ag8.30I 12.05%NM 11.65%EV +8.27%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.094%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.09%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV -0.060%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 18:00
Unibet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.19%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 18:24
Unibet (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:24
Unibet (NL)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:25
Casumo8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:25
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:25
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -7.60%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 18:24
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.60%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:24
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 18:24
Marathon Bet7.70I 12.99%NM 12.55%EV +0.443%E +0.057%K +0.066%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.51%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 18:19
Pinnacle7.59I 13.18%NM 12.70%EV -0.992%E -0.131%K -0.151%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.86%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.43%EV -1.38%E -0.264%K -0.326%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 18:45
DraftKings7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.96%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV -1.00%E -0.191%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 18:20
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:09
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 18:09
FanDuel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 18:39
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 18:00
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.92%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 18:24
Betsson7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV -3.47%E -0.469%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -6.66%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 18:49
NordicBet7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV -3.47%E -0.469%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -6.66%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 18:49
BetUS7.30I 13.70%NM 12.88%EV -4.78%E -0.654%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV -6.66%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 18:54
Everygame7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV -5.43%E -0.749%K -0.868%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.88%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:49
Fliff7.05I 14.18%NM 12.96%EV -8.04%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.20%EV -8.75%E -6.53%K -25.73%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.84%EV -8.55%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:50
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 17:49
Neds7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 17:49
BetMGM7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 17:49
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 17:49
theScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -1.00%E -0.191%K -0.236%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 18:30
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.43%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:00
Unibet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:35
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.43%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 18:49
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 18:39
Codere (IT)6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -11.30%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:29
1xBet6.79I 14.73%NM 14.29%EV -11.43%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.91%EV -1.26%E -0.867%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.80%EV -2.70%E -0.523%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 18:55
LiveScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -11.95%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -11.37%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:24
Virgin Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -11.95%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -11.37%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:24
Winamax (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.90%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.68%EV -0.060%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 18:30
888sport6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 18:24
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 18:25
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 18:24
888sport (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 18:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -24.57%E -6.14%K -8.19%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-04 17:44
Winamax (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -18.47%E -2.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.37%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 18:29
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-04-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-04-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-04-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-04-04 18:54
Matchbook8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.02%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.41%0.6%2026-04-04 18:55
Kalshi8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.58%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64%1.9%2026-04-04 18:55