L’École des cotesSouthampton v Arsenal
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Southampton (Local)
Prévision 13.04%7.67cote équitable
EV +10.88%
Avantage +1.28%
Kelly +1.45%
Croissance +0.158%
avec la cote maximale 8.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.50%13.02%13.02%14.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.257.357.308.5016.00%13.61%13.70%11.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Arsenal (Visiteur)
Prévision 68.10%1.47cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.867%
Kelly -2.79%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.06%68.16%68.05%70.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.371.361.4575.76%72.80%73.53%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 18.86%5.30cote équitable
EV -0.060%
Avantage -0.011%
Kelly -0.014%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.68%18.82%18.93%21.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.955.005.3025.00%20.22%20.00%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.50%EV +10.88%E +1.28%K +1.45%G +0.158% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.33%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.17%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.50%EV +10.88%E +1.28%K +1.45%G +0.158% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.33%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.17%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Coolbet | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.80%EV +8.27%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.094% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.99%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.65%EV +8.27%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.094% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.09%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV -0.060%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.65%EV +8.27%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.094% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.09%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV -0.060%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Unibet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.19%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Casumo | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| betPARX | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Grosvenor | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -7.60%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| TABtouch | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.60%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| LeoVegas | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.55%EV +0.443%E +0.057%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.51%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 18:19 |
| Pinnacle | 7.59I 13.18%NM 12.70%EV -0.992%E -0.131%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.86%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.43%EV -1.38%E -0.264%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 18:45 |
| DraftKings | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.96%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV -1.00%E -0.191%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 18:20 |
| SportsBet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| Bet Victor | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| FanDuel | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Paddy Power | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.92%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Betsson | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV -3.47%E -0.469%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -6.66%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| NordicBet | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV -3.47%E -0.469%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -6.66%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| BetUS | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.88%EV -4.78%E -0.654%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV -6.66%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Everygame | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV -5.43%E -0.749%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.88%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| Fliff | 7.05I 14.18%NM 12.96%EV -8.04%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.20%EV -8.75%E -6.53%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.84%EV -8.55%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| Neds | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| BetMGM | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| Coral | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| theScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -1.00%E -0.191%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 18:30 |
| Betway | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.43%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 18:35 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.43%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| Sky Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -11.30%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| 1xBet | 6.79I 14.73%NM 14.29%EV -11.43%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.91%EV -1.26%E -0.867%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.80%EV -2.70%E -0.523%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -11.95%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -11.37%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -11.95%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -11.37%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.90%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.68%EV -0.060%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 18:30 |
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -24.57%E -6.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-04 17:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -18.47%E -2.96%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.37%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Matchbook | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.02% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.41% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Kalshi | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.58% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |